Кристофер Тэпли опубликовал сентябрьские прогнозы на "Оскар".

Best Picture
1. “The Revenant” (20th Century Fox)
2. “Spotlight” (Open Road Films)
3. “Steve Jobs” (Universal Pictures)
4. “The Danish Girl” (Focus Features)
5. “The Hateful Eight” (The Weinstein Company)
6. “Bridge of Spies” (Walt Disney Pictures)
7. “Inside Out” (Walt Disney Pictures)
8. “Room” (A24)
9. “Black Mass” (Warner Bros. Pictures)
10. “Brooklyn” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)

Best Director
1. Alejandro González Iñárritu (“The Revenant”)
2. Thomas McCarthy (“Spotlight”)
3. Danny Boyle (“Steve Jobs”)
4. Quentin Tarantino (“The Hateful Eight”)
5. Steven Spielberg (“Bridge of Spies”)

Best Actor
1. Johnny Depp (“Black Mass”)
2. Michael Fassbender (“Steve Jobs”)
3. Leonardo DiCaprio (“The Revenant”)
4. Eddie Redmayne (“The Danish Girl”)
5. Bryan Cranston (“Trumbo”)

Best Actress
1. Brie Larson (“Room”)
2. Jennifer Lawrence (“Joy”)
3. Alicia Vikander (“The Danish Girl”)
4. Cate Blanchett (“Truth”)
5. Charlotte Rampling (“45 Years”)

Best Supporting Actor
1. Michael Keaton (“Spotlight”)
2. Tom Hardy (“The Revenant”)
3. Benicio Del Toro (“Sicario”)
4. Joel Edgerton (“Black Mass”)
5. Mark Rylance (“Bridge of Spies”)

Best Supporting Actress
1. Jennifer Lason Leigh (“The Hateful Eight”)
2. Rooney Mara (“Carol”)
3. Kate Winslet (“Steve Jobs”)
4. Jane Fonda (“Youth”)
5. Joan Allen (“Room”)

Best Original Screenplay
1. “Spotlight” (Thomas McCarthy, Josh Singer)
2. “Inside Out” (Josh Cooley, Pete Docter, Meg LeFauve)
3. “The Hateful Eight” (Quentin Tarantino)
4. “Bridge of Spies” (Matt Charman, Ethan Coen, Joel Coen)
5. “Joy” (Annie Mumolo, David O. Russell)

Best Adapted Screenplay
1. “Steve Jobs” (Aaron Sorkin)
2. “The Revenant” (Alejandro González Iñárritu, Mark L. Smith)
3. “The Danish Girl” (Lucinda Coxon)
4. “Brooklyn” (Nick Hornby)
5. “Room” (Emma Donoghue)

Best Editing
1. “The Revenant” (Stephen Mirrione)
2. “Steve Jobs” (Elliot Graham)
3. “Spotlight” (Tom McArdle)
4. “Bridge of Spies” (Michael Kahn)
5. “Mad Max: Fury Road” (Margaret Sixel)

Best Cinematography
1. “The Revenant” (Emmanuel Lubezki)
2. “Sicario” (Roger Deakins)
3. “The Hateful Eight” (Robert Richardson)
4. “The Danish Girl” (Danny Cohen)
5. “Mad Max: Fury Road” (John Seale)

Best Production Design
1. “The Danish Girl” (Eve Stewart)
2. “The Revenant” (Jack Fisk; Hamish Purdy)
3. “Carol” (Judy Becker; Heather Loeffler)
4. “Star Wars: The Force Awakens” (Rick Carter, Darren Gilford; Lee Sandales)
5. “Brooklyn” (François Séguin, Suzanne Cloutier)

Best Costume Design
1. “The Danish Girl” (Paco Delgado)
2. “Carol” (Sandy Powell)
3. “The Revenant” (Jacqueline West)
4. “Brooklyn” (Odile Dicks-Mireaux)
5. “Cinderella” (Sandy Powell)

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
1. “The Danish Girl”
2. “Black Mass”
3. “Mad Max: Fury Road”

Best Original Score
1. “Star Wars: The Force Awakens” (John Williams)
2. “The Danish Girl” (Alexandre Desplat)
3. “Bridge of Spies” (Thomas Newman)
4. “The Revenant” (Graeme Revell)
5. “The 33” (James Horner)

Best Animated Feature
1. “Inside Out” (Pixar Animation/Walt Disney Pictures)
2. “Shaun the Sheep Movie” (Lionsgate)
3. “Anomalisa” (Paramount Pictures)
4. “The Good Dinosaur” (Pixar Animation/Walt Disney Pictures)
5. “The Peanuts Movie” (20th Century Fox)

Best Sound Mixing
1. “Star Wars: The Force Awakens”
2. “The Revenant”
3. “Spectre”
4. “Mad Max: Fury Road”
5. “The Martian”

Best Sound Editing
1. “Star Wars: The Force Awakens”
2. “The Revenant”
3. “Spectre”
4. “The Martian”
5. “Mad Max: Fury Road”

Best Visual Effects
1. “Star Wars: The Force Awakens”
2. “The Walk”
3. “Mad Max: Fury Road”
4. “The Martian”
5. “Jurassic World”

Прогнозы Клэйтона Дэвиса на "Оскар" от 20 сентября (в скобочках указаны номера в прогнозе от 15 сентября):

1) Впервые у Дэвиса "Головоломка" заняла 1 место в анимации. После успеха в Венеции появилась в пятерке "Аномализа".
2) "Сын Саула" впервые появился в пятерке лучших сценариев.
3) 'Spotlight' взлетел на максимальную высоту в сезоне: 2 место в фильме и новичок в режиссуре.
4) После просмотра Дэвис переставил Китона из суппорта в лидинг. Слот в суппорте занял Марк Руффало.

Best Picture
1. 'Bridge of Spies' (1)
2. 'Spotlight' (6)
3. 'Steve Jobs' (3)
4. 'The Revenant' (2)
5. 'The Danish Girl' (4)
6. 'Carol' (5)
7. 'Brooklyn' (9)
8. 'Son of Saul' (New)
9. 'Inside Out' (New)
10. 'Beasts of No Nations' (8)

Best Director
1. Steven Spileberg, 'Bridge of Spies' (1)
2. Tom McCarthy, 'Spotlight' (New)
3. Danny Boyle, 'Steve Jobs' (3)
4. AG Innaritu, 'The Revenant' (2)
5. Todd Haynes, 'Carol' (5)

Best Actor
1. Leonardo DiCaprio, 'The Revenant' (1)
2. Eddie Redmayne, 'The Danish Girl' (3)
3. Michael Fassbender, 'Steve Jobs' (2)
4. Tom Hanks, 'Bridge of Spies' (4)
5. Johnny Depp, 'Black Mass' (5)

Best Actress
1. Alicia Vikander, 'The Danish Girl' (1)
2. Carey Mulligan, 'Suffragette' (2)
3. Cate Blanchett, 'Carol' (3)
4. Saoirse Ronan, 'Brooklyn' (5)
5. Lily Tomlin, 'Grandma' (4)

Best Supporting Actor
1. Idris Elba, 'Beasts of No Nations' (1)
2. Mark Ruffalo, 'Spotlight' (New)
3. Mark Rylance, 'Bridge of Spies' (3)
4. Harvey Keitel, 'Youth' (4)
5. Samuel L. Jackson, 'The Hateful Eight' (Re)

Best Supporting Actress
1. Jennifer Jason Leigh, 'The Hateful Eight' (1)
2. Rooney Mara, 'Carol' (2)
3. Kate WInslet, 'Steve Jobs' (4)
4. Julie Walters, 'Brooklyn' (3)
5. Rachel McAdams, 'Spotlight' (5)

Best Original Screenplay
1. 'Spotlight' (2)
2. 'Joy' (3)
3. 'Bridge of Spies' (1)
4. 'The Hateful Eight' (4)
5.  'Son of Saul' (New)

Best Adapted Screenplay
1. 'Steve Jobs' (2)
2. 'Carol' (1)
3. 'The Revenant' (3)
4. 'Brooklyn' (5)
5. 'The Danish Girl' (4)

Best Animated Feature
1. 'Inside Out' (2)
2. 'The Good Dinosaur' (1)
3. 'Anomalisa' (New)
4. 'Kahill Gibran's The Prophet' (4)
5. 'The Peanuts Movie' (5)

Прогнозы Клэйтона Дэвиса на "Оскар" от 15 сентября:

Best Picture
1. 'Bridge of Spies'
2. 'The Revenant'
3. 'Steve Jobs'
4. 'The Danish Girl'
5. 'Carol'
6. 'Spotlight'
7. 'The Hateful Eight'
8. 'Beasts of No Nation'
9. 'Brooklyn'
10. 'In the Heart of the Sea'

Best Director
1. Steven Spileberg, 'Bridge of Spies'.
2. AG Innaritu, 'The Revenant'
3. Danny Boyle, 'Steve Jobs'
4. Tom Hooper, 'The Danish Girl'
5. Todd Haynes, 'Carol'

Best Actor
1. Leonardo DiCaprio, 'The Revenant'
2. Michael Fassbender, 'Steve Jobs'
3. Eddie Redmayne, 'The Danish Girl'
4. Tom Hanks, 'Bridge of Spies'
5. Johnny Depp, 'Black Mass'

Best Actress
1. Alicia Vikander, 'The Danish Girl'
2. Carey Mulligan, 'Suffragette'
3. Cate Blanchett, 'Carol'
4. Lily Tomlin, 'Grandma'
5. Saoirse Ronan, 'Brooklyn'

Best Supporting Actor
1. Idris Elba, 'Beasts of No Nations'
2. Michael Keaton, 'Spotlight'
3. Mark Rylance, 'Bridge of Spies'
4. Harvey Keitel, 'Youth'
5. Tom Hardy, 'The Revenant'

Best Supporting Actress
1. Jennifer Jason Leigh, 'The Hateful Eight'
2. Rooney Mara, 'Carol'
3. Julie Walters, 'Brooklyn'
4. Kate WInslet, 'Steve Jobs'
5. Rachel McAdams, 'Spotlight'

Best Original Screenplay
1. 'Bridge of Spies'
2. 'Spotlight'
3. 'Joy'
4. 'The Hateful Eight'
5.  'Youth'

Best Adapted Screenplay
1. 'Carol'
2. 'Steve Jobs'
3. 'The Revenant'
4. 'The Danish Girl' 
5. 'Brooklyn'

Best Editing
1. 'Mad Max: Fury Road'
2. 'Bridge of Spies'
3. 'Joy'
4. 'The Revenant'
5. 'Steve Jobs'

Best Cinematography
1. Emmanuel Lubezki, 'The Revenant'
2. Roger Deakins, 'Sicario'
3. Anthony Dod Mantle, 'In the Heart of the Sea'
4. Janusz Kaminski, 'Bridge of Spies'
5. John Seale, 'Mad Max: Fury Road'

Best Production Design
1. 'Carol'
2. 'Cinderella'
3. 'The Danish Girl'
4. 'Pan'
5. 'Bridge of Spies'

Best Costume Design
1. 'Cinderella'
2. 'Carol'
3. 'The Danish Girl'
4. 'Brooklyn'
5. 'Far From the Madding Crowd''

Best Makeup & Hairstyling
1. 'Star Wars'
2. 'The Danish Girl'
3. 'Black Mess'

Best Original Score
1. 'Bridge of Spies'
2. 'Star Wars: The Force Awakens'
3. 'Carol'
4. 'Inside Out'
5. 'Sicario'

Best Animated Feature
1. 'The Good Dinosaur'
2. 'Inside Out'
3. 'The Little Prince'
4. 'Kahill Gibran's The Prophet'
5. 'The Peanuts Movie'

Best Sound Mixing
1. 'Spectre'
2. 'Mad Max: Fury Road'
3. 'Star Wars: The Force Awakens'
4. 'In the Heart of the Sea'
5. 'The Martian'

Best Sound Editing
1. 'Mad Max: Fury Road'
2. 'Spectre'
3. 'In the Heart of the Sea'
4. 'Jurassic World'
5. 'The Revenant'

Best Visual Effects
1. 'Star Wars: The Force Awakens'
2. 'In the Heart of the Sea'
3. 'The Martian'
4. 'Jurassic World'
5. 'Mad Max: Fury Road'

Прогнозы Клэйтона Дэвиса на "Оскар" от 4 сентября:

Best Picture
1. 'Bridge of Spies'
2. 'The Revenant'
3. 'The Danish Girl'
4. 'Steve Jobs'
5. 'Carol'
6. 'The Hateful Eight'
7. 'Brooklyn'
8. 'In the Heart of the Sea'
9. 'Beasts of No Nation'
10. 'Joy'

Best Director
1. Steven Spileberg, 'Bridge of Spies'.
2. AG Innaritu, 'The Revenant'
3. Tom Hooper, 'The Danish Girl'
4. Danny Boyle, 'Steve Jobs'
5. Todd Haynes, 'Carol'

Best Actor
1. Leonardo DiCaprio, 'The Revenant'
2. Eddie Redmayne, 'The Danish Girl'
3. Tom Hanks, 'Bridge of Spies'
4. Michael Fassbender, 'Steve Jobs'
5. Don Cheadle, 'Miles Ahead'

Best Actress
1. Alicia Vikander, 'The Danish Girl'
2. Carey Mulligan, 'Suffragette'
3. Cate Blanchett, 'Carol'
4. Lily Tomlin, 'Grandma'
5. Saoirse Ronan, 'Brooklyn'

Best Supporting Actor
1. Kurt Russell, 'The Hateful 8'
2. Harvey Keitel, 'Youth'
3. Mark Rylance, 'Bridge of Spies'
4. Tom Hardy, 'The Revenant'
5. Michael Keaton, 'Spotlight'

Best Supporting Actress
1. Jennifer Jason Leigh, 'The Hateful Eight'
2. Rooney Mara, 'Carol'
3. Elizabeth Olsen, 'I Saw the Light'
4. Emayatzy Corinealdi, 'Miles Ahead'
5. Julie Walters, 'Brooklyn'

Best Original Screenplay
1. 'Bridge of Spies'
2. 'Joy'
3. 'The Hateful Eight'
4. 'Youth'
5.  'Spotlight'

Best Adapted Screenplay
1. 'Carol'
2. 'The Danish Girl'
3. 'Steve Jobs'
4. 'The Revenant' 
5. 'Brooklyn'

Best Cinematography
1. Emmanuel Lubezki, 'The Revenant'
2. Anthony Dod Mantle, 'In the Heart of the Sea'
3. Janusz Kaminski, 'Bridge of Spies'
4. Roger Deakins, 'Sicario'
5. Danny Cohen, 'The Danish Girl'

Best Production Design
1. 'Cinderella'
2. 'Carol'
3. 'The Danish Girl'
4. 'Pan'
5. 'Bridge of Spies'

Best Costume Design
1. 'The Danish Girl'
2. 'Carol'
3. 'CInderella'
4. 'Brooklyn'
5. 'Far From the Madding Crowd'

Best Original Score
1. 'Bridge of Spies'
2. 'Star Wars: The Force Awakens'
3. 'Carol'
4. 'Inside Out'
5. 'Sicario'

Best Animated Feature
1. 'The Good Dinosaur'
2. 'Inside Out'
3. 'The Little Prince'
4. 'The Peanuts Morte'
5. 'Kahlil Gibran's The Prophet'

Появился первый выпуск гурусов в этом сезоне. На этот раз специалисты поделили фильмы на 3 категории: "Уже виденное", "То, что будет на фестивалях скоро" и "Релизы позднее октября". В каждом блоке выделены самые вероятные номинанты на "Оскар".

Already Widely Seen
1. Carol
2. Inside Out
3. Mad Max: Fury Road
t4. Youth
t4. Brooklyn
6. Sicario
7. Love and Mercy
8. Ex Machina
9. Everest
10. Straight Outta Compton

Making the Festival Run
1. The Danish Girl
2. Steve Jobs
3. Spotlight
4. Black Mass
5. Trumbo
6. Suffragette
7. The Martian
8. The Walk
t9. Our Brand Is Crisis
t9. I Saw the Light

Coming In Mid-October Or Later
1. The Revenant
2. Joy
3. Bridge of Spies
4. The Hateful 8
5. In the Heart of the Sea
6. Snowden
7. By the Sea
8. Silence
9. Concussion
10. Creed 

Прогнозы Клэйтона Дэвиса на "Оскар" от 7 августа:

Best Picture
1. 'The Revenant'
2. 'Bridge of Spies'
3. 'The Danish Girl'
4. 'Steve Jobs'
5. 'Carol'
6. 'In the Heart of the Sea'
7. 'Suffragette'
8. 'The Hateful Eight'
9. 'Miles Ahead'
10. 'By the Sea'

Best Director
1. A.G. Innaritu, 'The Revenant'.
2. Steven Spielberg, 'Bridge of Spies'
3. Tom Hooper, 'The Danish Girl'
4. Todd Haynes, 'Carol'
5. Ron Howard, 'In the Heart of the Sea'

Best Actor
1. Don Cheadle, 'Miles Ahead'
2. Leonardo DICaprio, 'The Revenant'
3. Tom Hanks, 'Bridge of Spies'
4. Michael Fassbender, 'Steve Jobs'
5. Eddie Redmayne, 'The Danish Girl'

Best Actress
1. Alicia Vikander, 'The Danish Girl'
2. Carey Mulligan, 'Suffragette'
3. Cate Blanchett, 'Carol'
4. Julianne Moore, 'Freeheld'
5. Lilly Tomlin, 'Grandma'

Best Supporting Actor
1. Kurt Russell, 'The Hateful 8'
2. Harvey Keitel, 'Youth'
3. Tom Hardy, 'The Revenant'
4. Jeff Daniels, 'Steve Jobs'
5. Mark Rylance, 'Bridge of Spies'

Best Supporting Actress
1. Jennifer Jason Leigh, 'The Hateful 8'
2. Rooney Mara, 'Carol'
3. Helena Bonham Carter, 'Suffragette'
4. Elizabeth Olsen, 'I Saw the Light'
5. Emayatzy Corinealdi, 'Miles Ahead'

Best Original Screenplay
1. 'Bridge of Spies'
2. 'Spotlight'
3. 'Suffragette'
4. 'The Hateful Eight'
5.  'Miles Ahead'

Best Adapted Screenplay
1. 'Carol'
2. 'The Revenant'
3. 'The Danish Girl'
4. 'Freeheld' 
5. 'Brooklyn'

Брэд Бревет составил ранний (летний) прогноз по номинантам "Оскара" в категории "Лучшая актриса второго плана". Итак, вот потенциальная пятерка по его версии:

1. Rooney Mara (Carol)
2. Elizabeth Olsen (I Saw the Light)
3. Jennifer Jason Leigh (The Hateful Eight)
4. Meryl Streep (Suffragette)
5. Ellen Page (Freeheld)

Ниже полный лонг-лист актрис второго плана:

6. Kristen Stewart (Clouds of Sils Maria)
7. Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs)
8. Julia Walters (Brooklyn)
9. Elizabeth Banks (Love & Mercy)
10. Rachel McAdams (Spotlight)
11. Helen Mirren (Trumbo)
12. Gugu Mbatha-Row (Concussion)
13. Phylicia Rashad (Creed)
14. Julia Roberts (Money Monster)
15. Shailene Woodley (Snowden)
16. Emayatzy Corinealdi (Miles Ahead)
17. Olivia Cooke (Me and Earl and the Dying Girl)
18. Laura Linney (Genius)
19. Helena Bonham Carter (Suffragette)
20. Kristen Wiig (The Diary of a Teenage Girl)
21. Anne-Marie Duff (Suffragette)
22. Judi Dench (Tulip Forever)
23. Jane Fonda (Youth)
24. Mamie Gummer (Ricki and the Flash)
25. Amy Ryan (Bridge of Spies)
26. Kirsten Dunst (Midnight Special)
27. Melissa Leo (Snowden)

Прогнозы Клэйтона Дэвиса на "Оскар" от 9 июля:

Best Picture
1. 'The Revenant'
2. 'Steve Jobs'
3. 'Bridge of Spies'
4. 'Carol'
5. 'The Danish Girl'
6. 'In the Heart of the Sea'
7. 'The Hateful Eight'
8. 'Suffragette'
9. 'Joy'
10. 'By the Sea'

Best Director
1. A.G. Innaritu, 'The Revenant'.
2. Steven Spielberg, 'Bridge of Spies'
3. Todd Haynes, 'Carol'
4. Tom Hooper, 'The Danish Girl'
5. Ron Howard, 'In the Heart of the Sea'

Best Actor
1. Leonardo DiCaprio, 'The Revenant'
2. Michael Fassbender, 'Steve Jobs'
3. Jake Gyllenhaal, 'Demolition'
4. Eddie Redmayne, 'The Danish Girl'
5. Tom Hiddleston, 'I Saw the Light'

Best Actress
1. Alicia Vikander, 'The Danish Girl'
2. Cate Blanchett, 'Carol'
3. Jennifer Lawrence, 'Joy'
4. Carey Mulligan, 'Suffragette'
5. Lilly Tomlin, 'Grandma'

Best Supporting Actor
1. Kurt Russell, 'The Hateful 8'
2. Jeff Daniels, 'Steve Jobs'
3. Tom Hardy, 'The Revenant'
4. Ralph Fiennes, 'A Bigger Splash'
5. Harvey Keitel, 'Youth'

Best Supporting Actress
1. Jennifer Jason Leigh, 'The Hateful 8'
2. Rooney Mara, 'Carol'
3. Naomi Watts, 'Demolition'
4. Rachel McAdams, 'Spotlight'
5. Elizabeth Olsen, 'I Saw the Light'

Best Original Screenplay
1. 'Demolition'
2. 'Joy'
3. 'Bridge of Spies'
4. 'The Hateful Eight'
5.  'Suffragette'

Best Adapted Screenplay
1. 'Carol'
2. 'The Revenant'
3. 'Freeheld'
4. 'Brooklyn' 
5. 'Steve Jobs'

Брэд Бревет составил ранний (летний) прогноз по номинантам "Оскара" в категории "Лучший актер второго плана". Итак, вот потенциальная пятерка по его версии:

1. Michael Keaton (Spotlight)
2. Tom Hardy (The Revenant)
3. Harvey Keitel (Youth)
4. Samuel L. Jackson (The Hateful Eight)
5. Seth Rogen (Steve Jobs)

Ниже полный лонг-лист актеров второго плана:

6. Brendan Gleeson (Suffragette)
7. Bradley Cooper (Joy)
8. Mark Rylance (Bridge of Spies)
9. Kurt Russell (The Hateful EIght)
10. Oscar Isaac (Ex Machina)
11. Steve Carell (Freeheld)
12. Benicio Del Toro (Sicario)
13. Jude Law (Genius)
14. Ralph Fiennes (A Bigger Splash)
15. Bruce Dern (The Hateful Eight)
16. Benedict Cumberbatch (Black Mass)
17. Stanley Tucci (Spotlight)
18. Tom Holland (In the Heart of the Sea)
19. Jack O'Connell (Money Monster)
20. Matthias Schoenaerts (Far From the Madding Crowd)
21. Sylvester Stallone (Creed)
22. Forest Whitaker (Southpaw)
23. Jesse Eisenberg (The End of the Tour)
24. Alex Baldwin (Untitled Howard Hughes Project)
25. Billy Magnussen (Bridge of Spies)
26. Alexander Skarsgard (The Diary of a Teenage Girl)

Прогноз Брэда Бревета в главной категории от 1 июля:

1. Steve Jobs
2. The Revenant
3. The Danish Girl
4. Carol
5. Joy
6. Bridge of Spies
7. The Walk
8. Inside Out
9. Brooklyn

Ниже полный лонг-лист:

10. Demolition
11. Black Mass
12. The Hateful Eight
13. Money Monster
14. Truth
15. Love & Mercy
16. Ex Machina
17. Our Brand is Crisis
18. Concussion
19. Everest
20. Snowden
21. Mad Max: Fury Road
22. The Diary of a Teenage Girl
23. Youth
24. I Saw the Light
25. Adam Jones
26. A Bigger Splash
27. Spotlight
28. Trumbo
29. Genius
30. Son of Saul
31. Me and Earl and the Dying Girl
32. The Program
33. Everybody Wants Some
34. Freeheld
35. Midnight Special
36. Southpaw
37. The Martian
38. Star Wars
39. Straight Outta Compton
40. In the Heart of the Sea
41. Clouds of Sils Maria
42. Suffragette
43. Macbeth
44. The Light Between Oceans45. By the Sea
46. The 33
47. Beasts of No Nation
48. Ricki and the Flash
49. Sicario
50. The Last Face
51. Untitled Howard Hughes Project