Мой финальный прогноз по поводу лауреатов предстоящей церемонии "Золотой Глобус-2016". Итак, вот кто выиграет по моей версии:

Лучший фильм (драма): Spotlight
Лучшая фильм (комедия): The Martian
Лучший режиссер: George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road
Лучший сценарий: The Big Short
Лучшая мужская роль (драма) : Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
Лучшая женская роль (драма): Brie Larson, Room
Лучшая мужская роль (комедия): Matt Damon, The Martian
Лучшая женская роль (комедия): Jennifer Lawrence, Joy
Лучший мужская роль второго плана: Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies
Лучшая женская роль второго плана: Alicia Vikander, Ex Machina
Лучшая музыка: The Hateful Eight
Лучшая песня: “See You Again”, Furious 7
Лучший анимационный фильм: Inside Out
Лучший зарубежный фильм: Mustang

Скотт Файнберг опубликовал свой оскаровский прогноз от 8 января. Итак, вот кого он видит в числе номинантов:

Best Picture
1. Spotlight
2. The Martian
3. The Big Short
4. Bridge of Spies
5. Carol
6. The Revenant
7. Brooklyn
8. Straight Outta Compton
9. Room
10. Sicario

Best Director
1. Ridley Scott, 'The Martian'
2. AG Innaritu, 'The Revenant'
3. Steven Spielberg, 'Bridge of Spies'
4. Todd Haynes, 'Carol'
5. Tom McCarthy, 'Spotlight'

Best Actor
1. Leonardo DiCaprio, 'The Revenant'
2. Bryan Cranston, 'Trumbo'
3. Eddie Redmayne, 'The Danish Girl'
4. Matt Damon, 'The Martian'
5. Michael B. Jordan, 'Creed'

Best Actress
1. Brie Larson, 'Room'
2. Saoirse Ronan, 'Brooklyn'
3. Cate Blanchett, 'Carol'
4. Charlotte Rampling, '45 Years'
5. Jennifer Lawrence, 'Joy'

Best Supporting Actor
1. Sylvester Stallone, 'Creed'
2. Mark Rylance, 'Bridge of Spies'
3. Christian Bale, 'The Big Short'
4. Benicio Del Toro, 'Sicario'
5. Idris Elba, 'Beasts of No Nation'

Best Supporting Actress
1. Alicia Vikander, 'The Danish Girl'
2. Rooney Mara, 'Carol'
3. Kate Winslet, 'Steve Jobs'
4. Jennifer Jason Leigh, 'The Hateful Eight'
5. Rachel McAdams, 'Spotlight'

Best Original Screenplay
1. Spotlight
2. Inside Out
3. Bridge of Spies
4. The Hateful Eight
5. Ex Machina

Best Adapted Screenplay
1. The Martian
2. Carol
3. The Big Short
4. Steve Jobs
5. Brooklyn

Best Animated Feature
1. Inside Out
2. Anomalisa
3. Shaun the Sheep Movie
4. The Good Dinosaur
5. The Peanuts Movie

Best Foreign Film
1. Son of Saul
2. Mustang
3. The Brand New Testament
4. Labyrinth of Lies
5. Theeb

Best Cinematography
1. The Revenant
2. Sicario
3. Bridge of Spies
4. Carol
5. Mad Max: Fury Road

Best Costume Design
1. Carol
2. The Danish Girl
3. Cinderella
4. Brooklyn
5. The Hateful Eight

Best FIlm Editing
1. Mad Max: Fury Road
2. Bridge of Spies
3. The Martian
4. The Big Short
5. The Revenant

Best Makeup
1. Mad Max: Fury Road
2. Mr. Holmes
3. The Revenant

Best Original Score
1. The Hateful Eight
2. Spotlight
3. Star Wars
4. Bridge of Spies
5. Carol

Best Original Song
1. 'See You Again' (Furious 7)
2. 'Till It Happens To You' (The Hunting Ground)
3. 'Simple Song #3' (Youth)
4. 'Earned It' (Fifty Shades of Grey)
5. 'Flashlight' (Pitch Perfect 2)

Best Visual Effects
1. Star Wars
2. Mad Max: Fury Road
3. The Martian
4. Jurassic World
5. The Walk

Best Production Design
1. Bridge of Spies
2. Star Wars
3. Mad Max: Fury Road
4. The Martian
5. Carol

Best Sound Editing
1. Star Wars
2. The Martian
3. Mad Max: Fury Road
4. The Revenant
5. Bridge of Spies

Best Sound Mixing
1. Star Wars
2. The Martian
3. Mad Max: Fury Road
4. The Revenant
5. The Hateful Eight

Прогнозы на победителей "Золотого Глобуса" от специалистов (Clayton Davis, Anne Thompson, Scott Feinberg):

Best Picture (Drama)
Clayton Davis: 'Spotlight'
Anne Thompson: 'Spotlight'
Scott Feinberg: 'Spotlight'

Best Picture (Musical or Comedy)
Clayton Davis: 'The Big Short'
Anne Thompson: 'The Big Short'
Scott Feinberg: 'The Martian'

Best Director
Clayton Davis: George Miller, 'Mad Max: Fury Road'
Anne Thompson: RIdley Scott, 'The Martian'
Scott Feinberg: Ridley Scott, 'The Martian'

Best Actor (Drama)
Clayton Davis: Leonardo DiCaprio, 'The Revenant'
Anne Thompson: Leonardo DiCaprio, 'The Revenant'
Scott Feinberg: Leonardo DiCaprio, 'The Revenant'

Best Actress (Drama)
Clayton Davis: Brie Larson, 'Room'
Anne Thompson: Brie Larson, 'Room'
Scott Feinberg: Brie Larson, 'Room'

Best Actor (Musical or Comedy)
Clayton Davis: Matt Damon, 'The Martian'
Anne Thompson: Matt Damon, ''The Martian'
Scott Feinberg: Matt Damon, 'The Martian'

Best Actress (Musical or Comedy)
Clayton Davis: Amy Schumer, 'Trainwreck'
Anne Thompson: Jennifer Lawrence, 'Joy'
Scott Feinberg: Maggie Smith, 'The Lady in the Van'

Best Supporting Actor
Clayton Davis: Mark Rylance, '“Bridge of Spies”
Anne Thompson: Mark Rylance, '“Bridge of Spies”
Scott Feinberg: Sylvester Stallone, 'Creed'

Best Supporting Actress
Clayton Davis: Alicia Vikander, 'Ex Machina'
Anne Thompson: Jennifer Jason Leigh, 'The Hateful Eight'
Scott Feinberg: Alicia Vikander, 'Ex Machina'

Best Screenplay
Clayton Davis: 'Spotlight'
Anne Thompson: 'Spotlight'
Scott Feinberg: 'The Big Short'

Best Original Score
Clayton Davis: 'Carol'
Anne Thompson: 'The Revenant'
Scott Feinberg: 'The Revenant'

Best Original Song
Clayton Davis: 'See You Again'
Anne Thompson: 'One Kind of Love'
Scott Feinberg: 'See You Again'

Best Animated Feature
Clayton Davis: 'Inside Out'
Anne Thompson: 'Inside Out'
Scott Feinberg: 'Inside Out'

Best Foreign Language Film
Clayton Davis: 'Son of Saul'
Anne Thompson: 'Son of Saul'
Scott Feinberg: 'Son of Saul'

Best Film
01. The Big Short
02. The Martian
03. Mad Max: Fury Road
04. Room
05. Spotlight

Best Director
01. George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road
02. Ridley Scott, The Martian
03. Tom McCarthy, Spotlight
04. Alejandro González Iñárritu, The Revenant
05. Lenny Abrahamson, Room

Best Leading Actor
01. Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs
02. Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
03. Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl
04. Bryan Cranston, Trumbo
05. Matt Damon, The Martian

Best Leading Actress
01. Brie Larson, Room
02. Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn
03. Cate Blanchett, Carol
04. Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
05. Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years

Best Supporting Actor
01. Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies
02. Jacob Tremblay, Room
03. Christian Bale, The Big Short
04. Michael Shannon, 99 Homes
05. Idris Elba, Beasts of No Nation

Best Supporting Actress
01. Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs
02. Helen Mirren, Trumbo
03. Alicia Vikander, Ex Machina
04. Rooney Mara, Carol
05. Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight

Best Original Screenplay
01. Bridge of Spies
02. Ex Machina
03. Inside Out
04. The Hateful Eight
05. Spotlight

Best Adapted Screenplay
01. The Big Short
02. Brooklyn
03. The Martian
04. Room
05. Steve Jobs

Outstanding British Film
01. 45 Years
02. Amy
03. Brooklyn
04. Ex-Machina
05. Suffragette

Best Documentary
01. Amy
02. Cartel Land
03. He Named Me Malala
04. The Look of Silence
05. The Salt of the Earth

Best Film Not in the English Language
01. Saul fia
02. Mustang
03. Le tout nouveau testament
04. Bande de filles
05. Timbuktu

Best Animated Film
01. Inside Out
02. Anomalisa
03. Shaun the Sheep

Обновлен сайт "гурусов". Вот какие прогнозы на "Оскар" можно прочесть на культовом ресурсе:

1. Spotlight
2. The Martian
t3. The Big Short
t3. The Revenant
5. Mad Max: Fury Road
6. Bridge of Spies
7. Carol
8. Brooklyn
9. Room
10. Straight Outta Compton

Best Director:
1. Ridley Scott, 'The Martian'
2. George Miller, 'Mad Max: Fury Road'
3. Tom McCarthy, 'Spotlight'
4. Alejandro Gonzalez Innaritu, 'The Revenant
5. Todd Haynes, 'Carol'

Best Actor:
1. Leo DiCaprio, 'The Revenant'
2. Michael Fassbender, 'Steve Jobs'
3. Bryan Cranston, 'Trumbo'
4. Eddie Redmayne, 'The Danish Girl'
5. Matt Damon, 'The Martian'

Best Actress:
1. Brie Larson, 'Room'
2. Saoirse Ronan, 'Brooklyn'
3. Cate Blanchett, 'Carol'
4. Charlotte Rampling, '45 Years'
5. Jennifer Lawrence, 'Joy'

Best Supporting Actor:
1. Mark Rylance, 'Bridge of Spies'
2. Sylvester Stallone, 'Creed'
3. Idris Elba, 'Beasts of No Nation'
4. Mark Ruffalo, 'Spotlight'
5. Christian Bale, 'The Big Short'

Best Supporting Actress:
1. Rooney Mara, 'Carol'
t2. Kate Winslet, 'Steve Jobs'
t2. Alicia Vikander, 'The Danish Girl'
4. Jennifer Jason Leigh, 'The Hateful Eight'
5. Alicia Vikander, 'Ex Machina'

Мой прогноз на номинантов PGA, ADG, WGA, DGA:

1) Producers Guild of America (PGA) Nominations
01. 'The Big Short'
02. 'Bridge of Spies'
03. 'Carol'
04. 'Inside Out'
05. 'Mad Max: Fury Road'
06. 'The Martian'
07. 'The Revenant'
08. 'Room'
09. 'Spotlight'
10. 'Star Wars The Force Awakens'

2) Art Directors Guild (ADG) Nominations

Period Film
01. 'Bridge of Spies'
02. 'Brooklyn'
03. 'Carol'
04. 'The Danish Girl'
05. 'Trumbo'

Fantasy Film
01. 'Avengers: Age of Ultron'
02. 'Cinderella'
03. 'Inside Out'
04. 'Mad Max: Fury Road'
05. 'Star Wars: The Force Awakens'

Contemporary Film
01. 'The Big Short'
02. 'Ex Machina'
03. 'The Martian'
04. 'Room'
05. 'Spotlight'

3) Writers Guild of America (WGA) Nominations

Best Original Screenplay
01. 'Bridge of Spies'
02. 'Love & Mercy'
03. 'Spotlight'
04. 'Straight Outta Compton'
05. 'Trainwreck'

Best Adapted Screenplay
01. 'The Big Short'
02. 'Carol'
03. 'The Martian'
04. 'Steve Jobs'
05. 'Trumbo'

4) Directors Guild of America (DGA) Nominations
01. Adam McKay ('The Big Short')
02. George Miller ('Mad Max Fury Road')
03. Ridley Scott ('The Martian')
04. Tom McCarthy ('Spotlight')
05. Alejandro González Iñárritu ('The Revenant')

Посмотрим, насколько схожи прогнозы трех ведущих аналитиков (Файнберг, Дэвис, Тэпли). Ниже опубликованы категории и 1 место каждого специалиста (кто кого видит на данный момент с "Оскаром" перед 31 декабря).

Best Picture
Scott Feinberg: 'Spotlight' 
Clayton Davis: 'Spotlight'
Kris Tapley: 'Spotlight'

Best Director
Scott Feinberg: Ridley Scott, 'The Martian'
Clayton Davis: Thomas McCarthy, 'Spotlight'
Kris Tapley: Thomas McCarthy, 'Spotlight'

Best Actor
Scott Feinberg: Leonardo DiCaprio, 'The Revenant'
Clayton Davis: Leonardo DiCaprio, 'The Revenant'
Kris Tapley: Leonardo DiCaprio, 'The Revenant'

Best Actress
Scott Feinberg: Brie Larson, 'Room'
Clayton Davis: Brie Larson, 'Room'
Kris Tapley: Brie Larson, 'Room'

Best Supporting Actor
Scott Feinberg: Sylvester Stallone, 'Creed'
Clayton Davis: Mark Rylance, 'Bridge of Spies'
Kris Tapley: Mark Rylance, 'Bridge of Spies'

Best Supporting Actress
Scott Feinberg: Alicia Vikander, 'The Danish Girl'
Clayton Davis: Alicia Vikander, 'The Danish Girl'
Kris Tapley: Alicia Vikander, 'The Danish Girl'

Best Original Screenplay
Scott Feinberg: 'Spotlight'
Clayton Davis: 'Spotlight'
Kris Tapley: 'Spotlight'

Best Adapted Screenplay
Scott Feinberg: 'The Martian'
Clayton Davis: 'Room'
Kris Tapley: 'Steve Jobs'

Обновлен сайт "гурусов". Вот какие прогнозы на "Оскар" можно прочесть на культовом ресурсе:

1. Spotlight
2. The Martian
3. Carol
4. The Revenant
t5. Bridge of Spies
t5. Mad Max: Fury Road
7. The Big Short
8. Room
9. Brooklyn
t10. Straight Outta Compton
t10. Inside Out

Best Director:
1. Ridley Scott, 'The Martian'
2. Tom McCarthy, 'Spotlight'
3. George Miller, 'Mad Max: Fury Road'
4. Todd Haynes, 'Carol'
5. Alejandro Gonzalez Innaritu, 'The Revenant

Best Actor:
1. Leo DiCaprio, 'The Revenant'
2. Matt Damon, 'The Martian'
3. Michael Fassbender, 'Steve Jobs'
4. Eddie Redmayne, 'The Danish Girl'
5. Bryan Cranston, 'Trumbo'

Best Actress:
1. Brie Larson, 'Room'
2. Saoirse Ronan, 'Brooklyn':
3. Cate Blanchett, 'Carol'
4. Jennifer Lawrence, 'Joy'
5. Charlotte Rampling, '45 Years'

Best Supporting Actor:
1. Mark Rylance, 'Bridge of Spies'
2. Sylvester Stallone, 'Creed'
3. Idris Elba, 'Beasts of No Nation'
4. Michael Keaton, 'Spotlight'
5. Mark Ruffalo, 'Spotlight'

Best Supporting Actress:
1. Rooney Mara, 'Carol':
2. Alicia Vikander, 'The Danish Girl':
3. Kate Winslet, 'Steve Jobs':
4. Jennifer Jason Leigh, 'The Hateful Eight':
5. Jane Fonda, 'Youth'

Прогнозы Клэйтона Дэвиса на "Оскар" от 21 декабря:

Best Picture
1. 'Spotlight'
2. 'Room'
3. 'The Revenant'
4. 'The Martian'
5. 'The Big Short'
6. 'Mad Max: Fury Road'
7. 'Bridge of Spies'
8. 'Carol'
9. 'Straight Outta Compton'
10. 'Inside Out'

Best Director
1. Tom McCarthy, 'Spotlight'
2. George Miller, 'Mad Max: Fury Road'
3. Ridley Scott, 'The Martian'
4. AG Innaritu, 'The Revenant'
5. Lenny Abrahamson, 'Room'

Best Actor
1. Leonardo DiCaprio, 'The Revenant'
2. Michael Fassbender, 'Steve Jobs'
3. Bryan Cranston, 'Trumbo'
4. Eddie Redmayne, 'The Danish Girl'
5. Will Smith, 'Concussion'

Best Actress
1. Brie Larson, 'Room'
2. Saoirse Ronan, 'Brooklyn'
3. Cate Blanchett, 'Carol'
4. Charlotte Rampling, '45 Years'
5. Rooney Mara, 'Carol'

Best Supporting Actor
1. Mark Rylance, 'Bridge of Spies'
2. Michael Keaton, 'Spotlight'
3. Idris Elba, 'Beasts of No Nation'
4. Christian Bale, 'The Big Short'
5. Michael Shannon, '99 Homes'

Best Supporting Actress
1. Alicia Vikander, 'The Danish Girl'
2. Jennifer Jason Leigh, 'The Hateful Eight'
3. Kate Winslet, 'Steve Jobs'
4. Rachel McAdams, 'Spotlight'
5. Helen Mirren, 'Trumbo'

Best Original Screenplay
1. 'Spotlight'
2. 'Inside Out'
3. 'The Hateful Eight'
4. 'Bridge of Spies'
5. 'Straight Outta Compton'

Best Adapted Screenplay
1. 'Room'
2. 'The Big Short''
3. 'Carol'
4. 'Brooklyn' 
5. 'The Revenant'

Best Animated Feature
1. 'Inside Out'
2. 'Anomalisa'
3. 'Kahill Gibran's The Prophet'
4. 'The Good Dinosaur'
5. 'Shaun the Sheep Movie'

Best Editing
1. 'Spotlight'
2. 'Mad Max: Fury Road'
3. 'The Big Short'
4. 'Room'
5. 'The Martian'

Best Cinematography
1. 'The Revenant' (Emmanuel Lubezki)
2. 'Mad Max: Fury Road' (John Seale)
3. 'Sicario' (Roger Deakins)
4. 'The Hateful Eight' (Robert Richardson)
5. 'Carol' (Edward Lachmann)

Best Production Design
1. 'The Danish Girl'
2. 'Carol'
3. 'Bridge of Spies'
4. 'Star Wars'
5. 'Mad Max: Fury Road'

Best Costume Design
1. 'The Danish Girl'
2. 'Carol'
3. 'Brooklyn'
4. 'Cinderella'
5. 'The Revenant'

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
1. 'Mad Max: Fury Road'
2. 'The Revenant'
3. 'Black Mass'

Best Original Score
1. 'The Hateful Eight'
2. 'Star Wars'
3. 'Bridge of Spies'
4. 'Carol'
5. 'Spotlight'

Best Sound Mixing
1. 'Mad Max: Fury Road'
2. 'The Revenant'
3. 'The Martian'
4. 'Star Wars'
5. 'Sicario'

Best Visual Effects
1. ''Star Wars: The Force Awakens'
2. 'The Martian'
3. 'Mad Max: Fury Road'
4. 'Jurassic World'
5. 'The Walk'

Best Foreign Feature
1. 'Son of Saul' (Hungary)
2. 'Mustang' (France)
3. 'Labyrinth of Lies' (Germany)
4. 'A War' (Denmark)
5. 'Theeb' (Jordan)

Киноакадемия огласила шорт-лист претендентов в категории "Лучшие визуальные эффекты". Из этой десятки в январе отберут пятерку номинантов на "Оскар".

“Ant-Man”
“Avengers: Age of Ultron”
“Ex Machina”
“Jurassic World”
“Mad Max: Fury Road”
“The Martian”
“The Revenant”
“Star Wars: The Force Awakens”
“Tomorrowland”
“The Walk”