Посмотрим, насколько схожи прогнозы трех ведущих аналитиков (Файнберг, Дэвис, Тэпли). Ниже опубликованы категории и 1 место каждого специалиста (кто кого видит на данный момент с "Оскаром" перед 31 декабря).

Best Picture
Scott Feinberg: 'Spotlight' 
Clayton Davis: 'Spotlight'
Kris Tapley: 'Spotlight'

Best Director
Scott Feinberg: Ridley Scott, 'The Martian'
Clayton Davis: Thomas McCarthy, 'Spotlight'
Kris Tapley: Thomas McCarthy, 'Spotlight'

Best Actor
Scott Feinberg: Leonardo DiCaprio, 'The Revenant'
Clayton Davis: Leonardo DiCaprio, 'The Revenant'
Kris Tapley: Leonardo DiCaprio, 'The Revenant'

Best Actress
Scott Feinberg: Brie Larson, 'Room'
Clayton Davis: Brie Larson, 'Room'
Kris Tapley: Brie Larson, 'Room'

Best Supporting Actor
Scott Feinberg: Sylvester Stallone, 'Creed'
Clayton Davis: Mark Rylance, 'Bridge of Spies'
Kris Tapley: Mark Rylance, 'Bridge of Spies'

Best Supporting Actress
Scott Feinberg: Alicia Vikander, 'The Danish Girl'
Clayton Davis: Alicia Vikander, 'The Danish Girl'
Kris Tapley: Alicia Vikander, 'The Danish Girl'

Best Original Screenplay
Scott Feinberg: 'Spotlight'
Clayton Davis: 'Spotlight'
Kris Tapley: 'Spotlight'

Best Adapted Screenplay
Scott Feinberg: 'The Martian'
Clayton Davis: 'Room'
Kris Tapley: 'Steve Jobs'

Обновлен сайт "гурусов". Вот какие прогнозы на "Оскар" можно прочесть на культовом ресурсе:

1. Spotlight
2. The Martian
3. Carol
4. The Revenant
t5. Bridge of Spies
t5. Mad Max: Fury Road
7. The Big Short
8. Room
9. Brooklyn
t10. Straight Outta Compton
t10. Inside Out

Best Director:
1. Ridley Scott, 'The Martian'
2. Tom McCarthy, 'Spotlight'
3. George Miller, 'Mad Max: Fury Road'
4. Todd Haynes, 'Carol'
5. Alejandro Gonzalez Innaritu, 'The Revenant

Best Actor:
1. Leo DiCaprio, 'The Revenant'
2. Matt Damon, 'The Martian'
3. Michael Fassbender, 'Steve Jobs'
4. Eddie Redmayne, 'The Danish Girl'
5. Bryan Cranston, 'Trumbo'

Best Actress:
1. Brie Larson, 'Room'
2. Saoirse Ronan, 'Brooklyn':
3. Cate Blanchett, 'Carol'
4. Jennifer Lawrence, 'Joy'
5. Charlotte Rampling, '45 Years'

Best Supporting Actor:
1. Mark Rylance, 'Bridge of Spies'
2. Sylvester Stallone, 'Creed'
3. Idris Elba, 'Beasts of No Nation'
4. Michael Keaton, 'Spotlight'
5. Mark Ruffalo, 'Spotlight'

Best Supporting Actress:
1. Rooney Mara, 'Carol':
2. Alicia Vikander, 'The Danish Girl':
3. Kate Winslet, 'Steve Jobs':
4. Jennifer Jason Leigh, 'The Hateful Eight':
5. Jane Fonda, 'Youth'

Прогнозы Клэйтона Дэвиса на "Оскар" от 21 декабря:

Best Picture
1. 'Spotlight'
2. 'Room'
3. 'The Revenant'
4. 'The Martian'
5. 'The Big Short'
6. 'Mad Max: Fury Road'
7. 'Bridge of Spies'
8. 'Carol'
9. 'Straight Outta Compton'
10. 'Inside Out'

Best Director
1. Tom McCarthy, 'Spotlight'
2. George Miller, 'Mad Max: Fury Road'
3. Ridley Scott, 'The Martian'
4. AG Innaritu, 'The Revenant'
5. Lenny Abrahamson, 'Room'

Best Actor
1. Leonardo DiCaprio, 'The Revenant'
2. Michael Fassbender, 'Steve Jobs'
3. Bryan Cranston, 'Trumbo'
4. Eddie Redmayne, 'The Danish Girl'
5. Will Smith, 'Concussion'

Best Actress
1. Brie Larson, 'Room'
2. Saoirse Ronan, 'Brooklyn'
3. Cate Blanchett, 'Carol'
4. Charlotte Rampling, '45 Years'
5. Rooney Mara, 'Carol'

Best Supporting Actor
1. Mark Rylance, 'Bridge of Spies'
2. Michael Keaton, 'Spotlight'
3. Idris Elba, 'Beasts of No Nation'
4. Christian Bale, 'The Big Short'
5. Michael Shannon, '99 Homes'

Best Supporting Actress
1. Alicia Vikander, 'The Danish Girl'
2. Jennifer Jason Leigh, 'The Hateful Eight'
3. Kate Winslet, 'Steve Jobs'
4. Rachel McAdams, 'Spotlight'
5. Helen Mirren, 'Trumbo'

Best Original Screenplay
1. 'Spotlight'
2. 'Inside Out'
3. 'The Hateful Eight'
4. 'Bridge of Spies'
5. 'Straight Outta Compton'

Best Adapted Screenplay
1. 'Room'
2. 'The Big Short''
3. 'Carol'
4. 'Brooklyn' 
5. 'The Revenant'

Best Animated Feature
1. 'Inside Out'
2. 'Anomalisa'
3. 'Kahill Gibran's The Prophet'
4. 'The Good Dinosaur'
5. 'Shaun the Sheep Movie'

Best Editing
1. 'Spotlight'
2. 'Mad Max: Fury Road'
3. 'The Big Short'
4. 'Room'
5. 'The Martian'

Best Cinematography
1. 'The Revenant' (Emmanuel Lubezki)
2. 'Mad Max: Fury Road' (John Seale)
3. 'Sicario' (Roger Deakins)
4. 'The Hateful Eight' (Robert Richardson)
5. 'Carol' (Edward Lachmann)

Best Production Design
1. 'The Danish Girl'
2. 'Carol'
3. 'Bridge of Spies'
4. 'Star Wars'
5. 'Mad Max: Fury Road'

Best Costume Design
1. 'The Danish Girl'
2. 'Carol'
3. 'Brooklyn'
4. 'Cinderella'
5. 'The Revenant'

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
1. 'Mad Max: Fury Road'
2. 'The Revenant'
3. 'Black Mass'

Best Original Score
1. 'The Hateful Eight'
2. 'Star Wars'
3. 'Bridge of Spies'
4. 'Carol'
5. 'Spotlight'

Best Sound Mixing
1. 'Mad Max: Fury Road'
2. 'The Revenant'
3. 'The Martian'
4. 'Star Wars'
5. 'Sicario'

Best Visual Effects
1. ''Star Wars: The Force Awakens'
2. 'The Martian'
3. 'Mad Max: Fury Road'
4. 'Jurassic World'
5. 'The Walk'

Best Foreign Feature
1. 'Son of Saul' (Hungary)
2. 'Mustang' (France)
3. 'Labyrinth of Lies' (Germany)
4. 'A War' (Denmark)
5. 'Theeb' (Jordan)

Киноакадемия огласила шорт-лист претендентов в категории "Лучшие визуальные эффекты". Из этой десятки в январе отберут пятерку номинантов на "Оскар".

“Ant-Man”
“Avengers: Age of Ultron”
“Ex Machina”
“Jurassic World”
“Mad Max: Fury Road”
“The Martian”
“The Revenant”
“Star Wars: The Force Awakens”
“Tomorrowland”
“The Walk”

Скотт Файнберг опубликовал свой оскаровский прогноз от 18 декабря. Итак, вот кого он видит в числе номинантов:

Best Picture
1. Spotlight
2. The Martian
3. The Big Short
4. The Revenant
5. Carol
6. Bridge of Spies
7. Straight Outta Compton
8. Brooklyn
9. Room
10. Star Wars

Best Director
1. Ridley Scott, 'The Martian'
2. AG Innaritu, 'The Revenant'
3. Thomas McCarthy, 'Spotlight'
4. Steven Spielberg, 'Bridge of Spies'
5. Todd Haynes, 'Carol'

Best Actor
1. Leonardo DiCaprio, 'The Revenant'
2. Matt Damon, 'The Martian'
3. Eddie Redmayne, 'The Danish Girl'
4. Will Smith, 'Concussion'
5. Michael Fassbender, 'Steve Jobs'

Best Actress
1. Brie Larson, 'Room'
2. Saoirse Ronan, 'Brooklyn'
3. Cate Blanchett, 'Carol'
4. Jennifer Lawrence, 'Joy'
5. Charlotte Rampling, '45 Years'

Best Supporting Actor
1. Sylvester Stallone, 'Creed'
2. Christian Bale, 'The Big Short'
3. Mark Rylance, 'Bridge of Spies'
4. Michael Shannon, '99 Homes'
5. Idris Elba, 'Beasts of No Nation'

Best Supporting Actress
1. Alicia Vikander, 'The Danish Girl'
2. Rooney Mara, 'Carol'
3. Kate Winslet, 'Steve Jobs'
4. Rachel McAdams, 'Spotlight'
5. Helen Mirren, 'Trumbo'

Best Original Screenplay
1. Spotlight
2. Inside Out
3. The Hateful Eight
4. Bridge of Spies
5. Ex Machina

Best Adapted Screenplay
1. The Martian
2. The Big Shorty
3. Steve Jobs
4. Brooklyn
5. Room

Best Animated Feature
1. Inside Out
2. Anomalisa
3. The Good Dinosaur
4. Shaun the Sheep Movie
5. The Peanuts Movie

Best Foreign Film
1. Son of Saul
2. Mustang
3. The Brand New Testament
4. Labyrinth of Lies
5. Viva

Best Cinematography
1. The Revenant
2. Mad Max: Fury Road
3. The Hateful Eight
4. Sicario
5. Carol

Best Costume Design
1. Carol
2. The Danish Girl
3. The Hateful Eight
4. Cinderella
5. Brooklyn

Best FIlm Editing
1. Mad Max: Fury Road
2. Spotlight
3. Bridge of Spies
4. The Martian
5. The Big Short

Best Makeup
1. Mad Max: Fury Road
2. Mr. Holmes
3. The 100-Year Old Man Who Climbed Out the Window And Disappeared

Best Original Score
1. The Hateful Eight
2. Carol
3. Spotlight
4. The Danish Girl
5. Star Wars

Best Original Song
1. 'See You Again' (Furious 7)
2. 'Till It Happens To You' (The Hunting Ground)
3. 'Simple Song #3' (Youth)
4. 'Earned It' (Fifty Shades of Grey)
5. 'Flashlight' (Pitch Perfect 2)

Best Visual Effects
1. Star Wars
2. jurassic World
3. Mad Max: Fury Road
4. The Walk
5. The Martian

Обновлен сайт "гурусов". Вот какие прогнозы на "Оскар" можно прочесть на культовом ресурсе:

1. Spotlight
2. The Martian
3. Carol
4. The Revenant
5. Mad Max: Fury Road
6. Bridge of Spies
7. Brooklyn
8. Room
9. The Big Short
10. Inside Out

Скотт Файнберг опубликовал свой оскаровский прогноз от 11 декабря. Итак, вот кого он видит в числе номинантов:

Best Picture
1. Spotlight
2. The Martian
3. The Revenant
4. Brooklyn
5. The Big Short
6. Bridge of Spies
7. Room
8. Straight Outta Compton
9. Carol
10. The Danish Girl

Best Director
1. Ridley Scott, 'The Martian'
2. AG Innaritu, 'The Revenant'
3. Thomas McCarthy, 'Spotlight'
4. Steven Spielberg, 'Bridge of Spies'
5. Todd Haynes, 'Carol'

Best Actor
1. Leonardo DiCaprio, 'The Revenant'
2. Eddie Redmayne, 'The Danish Girl'
3. Matt Damon, 'The Martian'
4. Will Smith, 'Concussion'
5. Michael Fassbender, 'Steve Jobs'

Best Actress
1. Brie Larson, 'Room'
2. Saoirse Ronan, 'Brooklyn'
3. Cate Blanchett, 'Carol'
4. Jennifer Lawrence, 'Joy'
5. Charlotte Rampling, '45 Years'

Best Supporting Actor
1. Sylvester Stallone, 'Creed'
2. Christian Bale, 'The Big Short'
3. Mark Rylance, 'Bridge of Spies'
4. Idris Elba, 'Beasts of No Nation'
5. Michael Keaton, 'Spotlight'

Best Supporting Actress
1. Alicia Vikander, 'The Danish Girl'
2. Rooney Mara, 'Carol'
3. Kate Winslet, 'Steve Jobs'
4. Helen Mirren, 'Trumbo'
5. Rachel McAdams, 'Spotlight'

Best Original Screenplay
1. Spotlight
2. Inside Out
3. The Hateful Eight
4. Bridge of Spies
5. Ex Machina

Best Adapted Screenplay
1. The Martian
2. The Revenant
3. Brooklyn
4. Room
5. Steve Jobs

Best Animated Feature
1. Inside Out
2. Anomalisa
3. The Good Dinosaur
4. Shaun the Sheep Movie
5. The Peanuts Movie

Best Foreign Film
1. Son of Saul
2. Mustang
3. The Brand New Testament
4. Labyrinth of Lies
5. The Second Mother

Best Original Score
1. The Danish Girl
2. The Hateful Eight
3. Carol
4. Spotlight
5. Star Wars

Best Original Song
1. 'See You Again' (Furious 7)
2. 'Till It Happens To You' (The Hunting Ground)
3. 'One Kind of Love' (Love and Mercy)
4. 'Simple Song #3' (Youth
5. 'Flashlight' (Pitch Perfect 2)

Best Visual Effects
1. Star Wars
2. jurassic World
3. Mad Max: Fury Road
4. The Walk
5. The Martian

Лучший европейский фильм: "Лобстер"
Лучший европейский режиссер: Рой Андерссон, "Голубь сидел на ветке, размышляя о бытии"
Лучший европейский актер: Венсан Линдон ("Закон рынка")
Лучший европейская актриса: Шарлотта Рэмплинг ("45 лет")
Лучший европейский сценарист: "Лобстер"
Лучшая европейская комедия: "Голубь сидел на ветке, размышляя о бытии"
Лучший европейский документальный фильм: "Эми"
Лучший европейский анимационный фильм: "Песнь моря"
Открытие года (Приз ФИПРЕССИ): "Мустанг"
Лучший европейский короткометражный фильм: Kung Fury
Приз зрительских симпатий за лучший европейский фильм: "Белый бог"

Обновлен сайт "гурусов". Вот какие прогнозы на "Оскар" можно прочесть на культовом ресурсе:

Best Picture
1. 'Spotlight'
2. 'The Martian'
3. 'Carol'
4. 'Brooklyn'
5. 'The Revenant'
6. 'Room'
7. 'Bridge of Spies'
8. 'Mad Max: Fury Road'
9. 'Inside Out'
10.'Steve Jobs'

Best Director
1. Ridley Scott, 'The Martian'
2. Tom MacCarthy, 'Spotlight'
3. Todd Haynes, 'Carol'
4. George Miller, 'Mad Max: Fury Road'
5. Alejandro Gonzalez Innaritu, 'The Revenant'

Best Actor
1. Leonardo DiCaprio, 'The Revenant'
2. Matt Damon, 'The Martian'
3. Michael Fassbender, 'Steve Jobs'
4. Eddie Redmayne, 'The Danish Girl'
5. Johnny Depp, 'Black Mass'

Best Actress
1. Brie Larson, 'Room'
2. Saoirse Ronan, 'Brooklyn'
3. Cate Blanchett, 'Carol'
4. Jennifer Lawrence, 'Joy'
5. Charlotte Rampling, '45 Years'

Best Supporting Actor
1. Michael Keaton, 'Spotlight'
2. Mark Rylance, 'Bridge of Spies'
3. Mark Ruffalo, 'Spotlight'
4. Sylvester Stallone, 'Creed'
5. Idris Elba, 'Beasts of No Nation'

Best Supporting Actress
1. Rooney Mara, 'Carol'
2. Alicia Vikander, 'The Danish Girl'
3. Kate Winslet, 'Steve Jobs'
4. Jennifer Jason Leigh, 'The Hateful Eight'
5. Jane Fonda, 'Youth'

Мой прогноз на номинантов "Золотого Глобуса" текущего киносезона (для сравнения варианты прогнозов от Scott Feinberg, Anne Thompson, Clayton Davis):

Best Picture (Drama):
Bridge of Spies
Carol
Creed
Room
Spotlight

Best Picture (Comedy or Musical):
The Big Short
Joy
The Martian
Spy
Trainwreck

Best Director:
Alejandro González Iñárritu (The Revenant)
Tom McCarthy (Spotlight)
George Miller (Mad Max Fury Road)
Ridley Scott (The Martian)
Todd Haynes (Carol)

Best  Screenplay:
The Big Short
Bridge of Spies
The Hateful Eight
Spotlight
Steve Jobs

Best Actor (Drama):
Johnny Depp (Black Mass)
Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant)
Michael Fassbender (Steve Jobs)
Bryan Cranston (Trumbo)
Eddie Redmayne (The Danish Girl)

Best Actor (Comedy/Musical):
Steve Carell (The Big Short)
Bradley Cooper (Burnt)
Matt Damon (The Martian)
Christian Bale (The Big Short)
Bill Murray (Rock the Kasbah)

Best Actress (Drama):
Cate Blanchett (Carol)
Brie Larson (Room)
Saoirse Ronan (Brooklyn)
Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl)
Helen Mirren (Woman in Gold)

Best Actress (Comedy/Musical):
Emily Tomlin (Grandma)
Jennifer Lawrence (Joy)
Melissa McCarthy (Spy)
Meryl Streep (Ricki and the Flash)
Maggie Smith (The Lady in the Van)

Best Supporting Actor:
Benicio del Toro (Sicario)
Idris Elba (Beasts of No Nation)
Michael Keaton (Spotlight)
Mark Rylance (Bridge of Spies)
Sylvester Stallone (Creed)

Best Supporting Actress:
Jane Fonda (Youth)
Jennifer Jason Leigh (The Hateful Eight)
Rachel McAdams (Spotlight)
Elizabeth Banks (Love & Mercy)
Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs)

Best Original Score:
Bridge of Spies
Carol
Star Wars
The Hateful Eight
Inside Out

Best Animated Feature:
Anomalisa
The Good Dinosaur
Inside Out
The Peanuts Movie
Shaun the Sheep Movie

Best Foreign-Language Film:
Goodnight Mommy
Labyrinth of Lies
Mustang
The Second Mother
Son of Saul