1. Победители LAFCA (Los Angeles Film Critics Association):

Лучший фильм: Spotlight / Carol
Лучший режиссер: George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road / Todd Haynes, Carol
Лучший сценарий: Spotlight / Anomalisa
Лучшая главная мужская роль: Johnny Depp, Black Mass / Geza Rohrig, Saul fia
Лучшая главная женская роль: Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years / Brie Larson, Room
Лучшая мужская роль второго плана: Sylvester Stallone, Creed / Paul Dano, Love & Mercy
Лучшая женская роль второго плана: Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight / Mya Taylor, Tangerine
Лучший монтаж: Mad Max: Fury Road / Spotlight
Лучшая музыка к фильму: Carol / Mad Max: Fury Road
Лучшая работа художника-декоратора: Mad Max: Fury Road / Carol
Лучший иностранный фильм: Saul fia / The Assassin
Лучший документальный фильм: Amy / The Look of Silence
Лучший анимационный фильм: Inside Out / Anomalisa
Лучшая работа оператора: Mad Max: Fury Road / The Revenant

2. Номинанты SAG (Screen Actors Guild):

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture :
The Big Short
Carol
Joy
The Martian
Spotlight

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role:
Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant)
Matt Damon (The Martian)
Johnny Depp (Black Mass)
Eddie Redmayne (The Danish Girl)
Will Smith (Concussion)

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role:
Jennifer Lawrence (Joy)
Brie Larson (Room)
Cate Blanchett (Carol)
Saoirse Ronan (Brooklyn)
Charlotte Rampling (45 Years)

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role:
Michael Keaton (Spotlight)
Mark Rylance (Bridge of Spies)
Mark Ruffalo (Spotlight)
Sylvester Stallone (Creed)
Christian Bale (The Big Short)

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role:
Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs)
Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl)
Rooney Mara (Carol)
Jane Fonda (Youth)
Elizabeth Banks (Love & Mercy)

Скотт Файнберг опубликовал свой оскаровский прогноз от 4 декабря. Итак, вот кого он видит в числе номинантов:

Best Picture
1. The Martian
2. Spotlight
3. The Revenant
4. Brooklyn
5. Room
6. Bridge of Spies
7. Carol
8. Straight Outta Compton
9. Joy
10. The Danish Girl

Best Director
1. Ridley Scott, 'The Martian'
2. AG Innaritu, 'The Revenant'
3. Thomas McCarthy, 'Spotlight'
4. Steven Spielberg, 'Bridge of Spies'
5. Todd Haynes, 'Carol'

Best Actor
1. Leonardo DiCaprio, 'The Revenant'
2. Will Smith, 'Concussion'
3. Johnny Depp, 'Black Mass'
4. Eddie Redmayne, 'The Danish Girl'
5. Matt Damon, 'The Martian'

Best Actress
1. Brie Larson, 'Room'
2. Saoirse Ronan, 'Brooklyn'
3. Jennifer Lawrence, 'Joy'
4. Charlotte Rampling, '45 Years'
5. Cate Blanchett, 'Carol'

Best Supporting Actor
1. Michael Keaton, 'Spotlight
2. Mark Ruffalo, 'Spotlight'
3. Paul Dano, 'Love & Mercy'
4. Benicip Del Toro, 'Sicario'
5. Mark Rylance, 'Brdge of Spies'

Best Supporting Actress
1. Alicia Vikander, 'The Danish Girl'
2. Rooney Mara, 'Carol'
3. Jane Fonda, 'Youth'
4. Jennifer Jason Leigh, 'The Hateful Eight'
5. Elizabeth Banks, 'Love & Mercy'

Best Original Screenplay
1. Spotlight
2. Inside Out
3. The Hateful Eight
4. Bridge of Spies
5. Ex Machina

Best Adapted Screenplay
1. The Martian
2. The Revenant
3. Brooklyn
4. Room
5. Steve Jobs

Best Animated Feature
1. Inside Out
2. Anomalisa
3. The Good Dinosaur
4. Shaun the Sheep Movie
5. The Peanuts Movie

Best Foreign Film
1. Son of Saul
2. Mustang
3. A Pigeon
4. Labyrinth of Lies
5. The Second Mother

Best Original Score
1. Star Wars
2. The Danish Girl
3. The Hateful Eight
4. The 33
5. Spotlight

Best Original Song
1. 'See You Again' (Furious 7)
2. 'Till It Happens To You' (The Hunting Ground)
3. 'Flashlight' (Pitch Perfect 2)
4. 'One Kind Of Love' (Love and Mercy)
5. 'Simple Song #3' (Youth)

Best Visual Effects
1. Star Wars
2. jurassic World
3. Mad Max: Fury Road
4. The Walk
5. The Martian

Обновлен сайт "гурусов". Вот какие прогнозы на "Оскар" можно прочесть на культовом ресурсе:

Best Picture
1. Spotlight
2. The Martian
3. The Revenant
4. Room
5. Brooklyn
6. Bridge of Spies
7. Carol
8. Joy
9. Inside Out
10. Creed

Мой прогноз на виннеров NBR & NYFCC. В каждой категории указано два варианта победителя (кого я считаю главным фаворитом и далее возможную альтернативу, если не побеждает первый номер).

1. Победители NBR:
Лучший фильм: 'Creed' / 'Anomalisa'
Лучший режиссер: Ridley Scott, 'The Martian' / George Miller, 'Mad Max: Fury Road'
Лучший оригинальный сценарий: 'Spotlight' / 'Inside Out'
Лучший адаптированный сценарий: 'Anomalisa' / 'Steve Jobs'
Лучшая главная мужская роль: Johnny Depp, 'Black Mass' / Michael Fassbender, 'Steve Jobs'
Лучшая главная женская роль: Brie Larson, 'Room' / Saoirse Ronan, 'Brooklyn'
Лучшая мужская роль второго плана: Sylvester Stallone, 'Creed' / Paul Dano, 'Love & Mercy'
Лучшая женская роль второго плана: Jane Fonda, 'Youth' / Elizabeth Banks, 'Love & Mercy'
Лучший ансамбль: 'Spotlight' / 'The Big Short'
Лучший иностранный фильм: 'Mustang' / 'Saul fia'
Лучший документальный фильм: 'Amy' / 'The Wolfpack'
Лучший анимационный фильм: 'Inside Out' / 'Anomalisa'

2. Победители NYFCC:
Лучший фильм: 'Carol' / 'Anomalisa'
Лучший режиссер: Todd Haynes, 'Carol' / George Miller, 'Mad Max: Fury Road'
Лучший сценарий: 'Spotlight' / 'Anomalisa'
Лучшая главная мужская роль: Michael Fassbender, 'Steve Jobs' / Johnny Depp, 'Black Mass'
Лучшая главная женская роль: Charlotte Rampling, '45 Years' / Jennifer Lawrence, 'Joy'
Лучшая мужская роль второго плана: Mark Rylance, 'Bridge of Spies' / Paul Dano, 'Love & Mercy'
Лучшая женская роль второго плана: Cynthia Nixon, 'James White' / Jane Fonda, 'Youth'
Лучший оператор: 'Mad Max: Fury Road' / 'Carol'
Лучший иностранный фильм: 'Saul fia' / 'Taxi'
Лучший документальный фильм: 'Amy' / 'Look of Silence'
Лучший анимационный фильм: 'Anomalisa' / 'Inside Out'

Посмотрим, насколько схожи прогнозы трех ведущих аналитиков (Файнберг, Дэвис, Тэпли). Ниже опубликованы категории и 1 место каждого специалиста (кто кого видит на данный момент с "Оскаром" перед 1 декабря).

Best Picture
Scott Feinberg: 'The Martian' 
Clayton Davis: 'Spotlight'
Kris Tapley: 'Spotlight'

Best Director
Scott Feinberg: Ridley Scott, 'The Martian'
Clayton Davis: Thomas McCarthy, 'Spotlight'
Kris Tapley: Alejandro González Iñárritu, 'The Revenant'

Best Actor
Scott Feinberg: Leonardo DiCaprio, 'The Revenant'
Clayton Davis: Leonardo DiCaprio, 'The Revenant'
Kris Tapley: Johnny Depp, 'Black Mass'

Best Actress
Scott Feinberg: Brie Larson, 'Room'
Clayton Davis: Brie Larson, 'Room'
Kris Tapley: Brie Larson, 'Room'

Best Supporting Actor
Scott Feinberg: Michael Keaton, 'Spotlight'
Clayton Davis: Michael Keaton, 'Spotlight'
Kris Tapley: Michael Keaton, 'Spotlight'

Best Supporting Actress
Scott Feinberg: Alicia Vikander, 'The Danish Girl'
Clayton Davis: Jennifer Jason Leigh, 'The Hateful Eight'
Kris Tapley: Alicia Vikander, 'The Danish Girl'

Best Original Screenplay
Scott Feinberg: 'Spotlight'
Clayton Davis: 'Spotlight'
Kris Tapley: 'Spotlight'

Best Adapted Screenplay
Scott Feinberg: 'The Martian'
Clayton Davis: 'Room'
Kris Tapley: 'Steve Jobs'

Обновлен сайт "гурусов". Вот какие прогнозы на "Оскар" можно прочесть на культовом ресурсе:

Best Picture
1. Spotlight
2. The Martian
3. Room
4. The Revenant
5. Brooklyn
6. Bridge of Spies
7. Carol
8. Joy
9. Inside Out
10. Steve Jobs

Best Actor
1. Leonardo DiCaprio, 'The Revenant'
2. Matt Damon, 'The Martian'
3. Michael Fassbender, 'Steve Jobs'
4. Eddie Redmayne, 'The Danish Girl'
5. Johnny Depp, 'Black Mass'

Best Supporting Actor
1. Mark Rylance, 'Bridge of Spies'
2. Michael Keaton, 'Spotlight'
3. Mark Ruffalo, 'Spotlight'
4. Idris Elba, 'Beasts of No Nation'
t5. Tom Hardy, 'The Revenant'
t5. Sylvester Stallone, 'Creed'

Мой личный прогноз на победителей кинопремии BIFA' 2015:

Best British Independent Film | The Lobster
Best Director | Yorgos Lanthimos - The Lobster
Best Actor | Tom Courtenay for 45 Years
Best Actress | Charlotte Rampling for 45 Years
Best Supporting Actor | Ben Whishaw for The Lobster
Best Supporting Actress | Julie Walters for Brooklyn
Best Screenplay | Ex Machina Alex Garland
Best Documentary | Amy
The Douglas Hickox Award (Debut Director) | Slow West John Maclean
Most Promising Newcomer | Milo Parker for Mr Holmes
Producer of the Year | Amy
Outstanding Achievement in Craft | Cinematography - Adam Arkapaw for Macbeth
The Discovery Award | Burn Burn Burn
Best British Short Film | Edmond
Best International Independent Film | Son of Saul

Скотт Файнберг опубликовал свой оскаровский прогноз от 20 ноября. Итак, вот кого он видит в числе номинантов:

Best Picture
1. The Revenant
2. The Martian
3. Spotlight
4. Brooklyn
5. Room
6. Bridge of Spies
7. Joy
8. Straight Outta Compton
9. The Big Short
10. The Danish Girl

Best Director
1. Ridley Scott, 'The Martian'
2. AG Innaritu, 'The Revenant'
3. Thomas McCarthy, 'Spotlight'
4. David O. Russell, 'Joy'
5. Steven Spielberg, 'Bridge of Spies'

Best Actor
1. Leonardo DiCaprio, 'The Revenant'
2. Will Smith, 'Concussion'
3. Johnny Depp, 'Black Mass'
4. Matt Damon, 'The Martian'
5. Eddie Redmayne, 'The Danish Girl'

Best Actress
1. Brie Larson, 'Room'
2. Saoirse Ronan, 'Brooklyn'
3. Jennifer Lawrence, 'Joy'
4. Cate Blanchett, 'Carol'
5. Charlotte Rampling, '45 Years'

Best Supporting Actor
1. Mark Ruffalo, 'Spotlight'
2. Michael Keaton, 'Spotlight'
3. Tom Hardy, 'The Revenant'
4. Paul Dano, 'Love and Mercy'
5. Benicio Del Toro, 'Sicario'

Best Supporting Actress
1. Alicia Vikander, 'The Danish Girl'
2. Rooney Mara, 'Carol'
3. Jane Fonda, 'Youth'
4. Elizabeth Banks, 'Love and Mercy'
5. Jennifer Jason Leigh, 'The Hateful Eight'

Best Original Screenplay
1. Spotlight
2. Joy
3. The Hateful Eight
4. Inside Out
5. Bridge of Spies

Best Adapted Screenplay
1. The Martian
2. The Revenant
3. Brooklyn
4. Room
5. Steve Jobs

Best Animated Feature
1. Inside Out
2. Anomalisa
3. The Good Dinosaur
4. The Prophet
5. Shaun the Sheep Movie

Best Foreign Film
1. Son of Saul
2. Mustang
3. Labyrinth of Lies
4. A Pigeon Sat On A Branch Reflecting On Existence
5. Goodnight Mommy

Best Original Score
1. Star Wars
2. The Danish Girl
3. The Revenant
4. The Martian
5. The 33

Best Original Song
1. 'See You Again' (Furious 7)
2. 'Till It Happens To You' (The Hunting Ground)
3. 'Flashlight' (Pitch Perfect 2)
4. 'One Kind Of Love' (Love and Mercy)
5. 'Love Me Like You Do' (Fivty Shades of Grey)

Best Visual Effects
1. Star Wars
2. jurassic World
3. The Walk
4. Mad Max: Fury Road
5. The Martian

Прогнозы Клэйтона Дэвиса на "Оскар" от 18 ноября:

Best Picture
1. 'Spotlight'
2. 'The Revenant'
3. 'Bridge of Spies'
4. 'Room'
5. 'Brooklyn'
6. 'The Martian'
7. 'Steve Jobs'
8. 'Son of Saul'
9. 'Inside Out'
10. 'The Hateful Eight'

Best Director
1. Tom McCarthy, 'Spotlight'.
2. AG Innaritu, 'The Revenant'
3. Steven Spielberg, 'Bridge of Spies'
4. Lenny Abrahamson, 'Room'
5. Laszlo Nemes, 'Son of Saul'

Best Actor
1. Leonardo DiCaprio, 'The Revenant'
2. Michael Fassbender, 'Steve Jobs'
3. Johnny Depp, 'Black Mass'
4. Eddie Redmayne, 'The Danish Girl'
5. Will Smith, 'Concussion'

Best Actress
1. Brie Larson, 'Room'
2. Saoirse Ronan, 'Brooklyn'
3. Cate Blanchett, 'Carol'
4. Jennifer Lawrence, 'Joyl'
5. Blythe Danner, 'I'll See You In My Dreams'

Best Supporting Actor
1. Michael Keaton, 'Spotlight'
2. Mark Ruffalo, 'Spotlight'
3. Mark Rylance, 'Bridge of Spies'
4. Tom Hardy, 'The Revenant'
5. Benicio Del Toro, 'Sicario'

Best Supporting Actress
1. Jennifer Jason Leigh, 'The Hateful EIght'
2. Alicia Vikander, 'The Danish Girl'
3. Kate Winslet, 'Steve Jobs'
4. Rooney Mara, 'Carol'
5. Elizabeth Banks, 'Love and Mercy'

Best Original Screenplay
1. 'Spotlight'
2. 'Inside Out'
3. 'The Hateful Eight'
4. 'Son of Saul'
5. 'Bridge of Spies'

Best Adapted Screenplay
1. 'Room'
2. 'Brooklyn'
3. 'Steve Jobs'
4. 'The Revenant' 
5. 'Anomalisa'

Best Animated Feature
1. 'Inside Out'
2. 'Anomalisa'
3. 'The Good Dinosaur'
4. 'Kahlil Gibran's The Prophet'
5. 'The Peanuts Movie'

Best Editing
1. 'Spotlight'
2. 'Mad Max: Fury Road'
3. 'The Revenant'
4. 'Bridge of Spies'
5. 'Steve Jobs'

Best Cinematography
1. 'The Revenant' (Emmanuel Lubezki)
2. 'Sicario' (Roger Deakins)
3. 'Mad Max Fury Road' (John Seale)
4. 'Bridge of Spies' (Janusz Kaminski)
5. 'Son of Saul' (Matyas Erdely)

Best Production Design
1. 'The Danish Girl'
2. 'Carol'
3. 'Cinderella'
4. 'Bridge of Spies'
5. 'Star Wars'

Best Costume Design
1. 'Cinderella'
2. 'Carol'
3. 'The Danish Girl'
4. 'Brooklyn'
5. 'Far From the Madding Crowd'

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
1. 'Star Wars'
2. 'The Danish Girl'
3. 'Carol''

Best Original Score
1. 'Bridge of Spies'
2. 'Star Wars'
3. 'Steve Jobs'
4. 'Inside Out'
5. 'Sicario'

Best Sound Mixing
1. 'Mad Max Fury Road'
2. 'The Martian'
3. 'Sicario'
4. 'Star Wars'
5. 'Spectre'

Best Sound Editing
1. 'Mad Max Fury Road'
2. 'Spectre'
3. 'In the Heart of the Sea'
4. 'Sicario'
5. 'The Revenant'

Best Visual Effects
1. ''Star Wars: The Force Awakens'
2. 'In the Heart of the Sea'
3. 'The Martian'
4. 'Jurassic World'
5. 'The Walk'

Best Foreign Feature
1. 'Son of Saul' (Hungary)
2. 'Labyrints of Lies' (Germany)
3. 'The Assasin' (Taiwan)
4. 'The Second Mother' (Brasil)
5. 'Goodnight Mommy' (Austria)

Скотт Файнберг опубликовал свой оскаровский прогноз от 13 ноября. Итак, вот кого он видит в числе номинантов:

Best Picture
1. The Revenant
2. The Martian
3. Spotlight
4. Brooklyn
5. Room
6. Joy
7. Bridge of Spies
8. Straight Outta Compton
9. Sicario
10. Inside Out

Best Director
1. Ridley Scott, 'The Martian'
2. AG Innaritu, 'The Revenant'
3. Thomas McCarthy, 'Spotlight'
4. David O. Russell, 'Joy'
5. Steven Spielberg, 'Bridge of Spies'

Best Actor
1. Leonardo DiCaprio, 'The Revenant'
2. Johnny Depp, 'Black Mass'
3. Will Smith, 'Concussion'
4. Matt Damon, 'The Martian'
5. Eddie Redmayne, 'The Danish Girl'

Best Actress
1. Brie Larson, 'Room'
2. Saoirse Ronan, 'Brooklyn'
3. Jennifer Lawrence, 'Joy'
4. Cate Blanchett, 'Carol'
5. Charlotte Rampling, '45 Years'

Best Supporting Actor
1. Mark Ruffalo, 'Spotlight'
2. Michael Keaton, 'Spotlight'
3. Tom Hardy, 'The Revenant'
4. Paul Dano, 'Love and Mercy'
5. Mark Rylance, 'Bridge of Spies'

Best Supporting Actress
1. Alicia Vikander, 'The Danish Girl'
2. Rooney Mara, 'Carol'
3. Kate Winslet, 'Steve Jobs'
4. Jane Fonda, 'Youth'
5. Elizabeth Banks, 'Love and Marcy'

Best Original Screenplay
1. Spotlight
2. Joy
3. Inside Out
4. The Hateful Eight
5. Bridge of Spies

Best Adapted Screenplay
1. The Martian
2. The Revenant
3. Brooklyn
4. Room
5. Steve Jobs

Best Animated Feature
1. Inside Out
2. Anomalisa
3. The Good Dinosaur
4. The Prophet
5. Shaun the Sheep Movie

Best Foreign Film
1. Son of Saul
2. Mustang
3. Labyrinth of Lies
4. A Pigeon Sat On A Branch Reflecting On Existence
5. Goodnight Mommy

Best Original Score
1. Star Wars
2. The Danish Girl
3. The Revenant
4. The Martian
5. The 33

Best Original Song
1. 'See You Again' (Furious 7)
2. 'Till It Happens To You' (The Hunting Ground)
3. 'Flashlight' (Pitch Perfect 2)
4. 'One Kind Of Love' (Love and Mercy)
5. 'Love Me Like You Do' (Fivty Shades of Grey)

Best Visual Effects
1. Star Wars
2. jurassic World
3. The Walk
4. Mad Max: Fury Road
5. The Martian