Еще не успели отпраздновать победу "Бердмэна" как следует, так уже Питер Кнегт вывалил на нас свои ранние прогнозы на "Оскар 2016". Как всегда 'пальцем в небо' в это время года, но таки интригует! Итак, вот главные претенденты на будущий "Оскар" по версии аналитика "Индивайр":

Best Picture
"Brooklyn"
"Carol"
"Demolition"
"The Hateful Eight"
"Joy"
"The Revenant"
"St. James Place"
"Steve Jobs"
"Suffragette"
"Trumbo"
(Alternates: "The Sea of Trees"; "Southpaw"; "Freeheld"; "The Danish Girl"; "Me and Earl and the Dying Girl"; "Ricki and the Flash"; "45 Years"; "Genius"; "Spotlight"; "Macbeth")

Best Director
Todd Haynes, "Carol"
Alejandro González Iñárritu, "The Revenant"
David O. Russell, "Joy"
Steven Spielberg, "St. James Place"
Quentin Tarantino, "The Hateful Eight"
(Alternates: Danny Boyle, "Steve Jobs"; Jean-Marc Vallee, "Demolition"; John Crowley, "Brooklyn"; Sarah Gavron, "Suffragette"; Gus Van Sant, "The Sea of Trees") 

Best Actor
Don Cheadle, "Miles Ahead"
Leonardo DiCaprio, "The Revenant"
Michael Fassbender, "Steve Jobs"
Jake Gyllenhaal, "Southpaw" or "Demolition"
Eddie Redmayne, "The Danish Girl"
(Alternates: Bryan Cranston, "Trumbo" ; Jason Segel, "The End of the Tour"; Tom Hanks, "St. James Place"; Tom Courtenay, "45 Years"; Joseph Gordon-Levitt, "The Walk"; Matthew McConaughey, "The Sea of Trees")

Best Actress
Cate Blanchett, "Carol"
Jennifer Lawrence, "Joy"
Saorise Ronan, "Brooklyn"
Meryl Streep, "Ricky and the Flash"
Lily Tomlin, "Grandma"
(Alternates: Charlotte Rampling, "45 Years"; Carey Mulligan, "Suffragette"; Julianne Moore, "Freeheld" ; Blythe Danner, "I'll See You In My Dreams"; Alicia Vikander, "The Danish Girl")

Best Supporting Actor
Bradley Cooper, "Joy"
Tom Hardy, "The Revenant"
Michael Keaton, "Spotlight"
Ken Watanabe, "The Sea of Trees"
Forest Whitaker, "Southpaw"
(Alternates: Mark Rylance, "St. James Place"; Steve Carell, "Freeheld" ; Samuel L. Jackson, "The Hateful Eight" ; Jesse Eisenberg, "The End of the Tour"; John Goodman, "Trumbo"; Jude Law, "Genius")

Best Supporting Actress
Jennifer Jason Leigh, "The Hateful Eight"
Rooney Mara, "Carol"
Ellen Page, "Freeheld"
Naomi Watts, "Demolition"
Katherine Waterson, "Steve Jobs"
(Alternates: Marion Cotillard, "Macbeth"; Kate Winslet, "Steve Jobs"; Nicole Kidman, "Genius"; Helena Bonham Carter, "Suffragette"; Virginia Madsen, "Joy")

Закончен киносезон. И уже можно обратить внимание на те ленты, которые имеют перспективу на "Оскаре 2016". Итак:

'Carol' (by Todd Haynes)
'Macbeth' (by Justin Kurzel)
'The Revenant' (by Alejandro Gonzalez Innaritu)
'The Hateful Eight' (by Quentin Tarantino)
'Midnight Special' (by Jeff Nichols)
'St James Place' (by Steven Spielberg)
'Jobs' (by Danny Boyle)
'The Sea of Trees' (by Gus Van Sant)
'Joy' (by David O. Russell)
'Demolition' (by Jean Marc Valee)
'Ricki and the Flash' (by Jonathan Demme)
'The Martian' (by Ridley Scott)
'By the Sea' (by Angelina Jolie)

P.S. Сознательно не включил в список блокбастеры, откровенное инди (ждем "Ведьму") и фестивальные европейские ленты. Полный список топ-100 самых ожидаемых лент 2015 можно обнаружить здесь.

Результаты зарубежных предсказателей:

Results:
Peter Knegt: 16/24
Scott Feinberg: 13/24
Kristopher Tapley: 20/24 WINNER
Anne Thompson: 15/24
Clayton Davis: 17/24
Michael Ward: 16/24
Jack Moulton: 18/24
Michael Balderston: 18/24
Joey Magidson: 18/24
Cristina Lule: 17/24
Slant Magazine: 17/24

Best Picture: Birdman (17 points), Boyhood (12 points)
Best Director: Iñárritu (22), Linklater (7)
Best Actor: Eddie Redmayne (21), Michael Keaton (7), Cooper (1)
Best Actress: Julianne Moore (29)
Best Supporting Actor: J.K. Simmons (29)
Best Supporting Actress: Patricia Arquette (29)
Best Original Screenplay: The Grand Budapest Hotel (23), Birdman (6)
Best Adapted Screenplay: The Imitation Game (19), Whiplash (10)
Best Editing: Boyhood (26), Whiplash (3)
Best Cinematography: Birdman (28), Ida (1)
Best Visual Effects: Interstellar (19), Dawn of the Planet of the Apes (8), Guardians of the Galaxy (2)
Best Production Design: The Grand Budapest Hotel (28), Into the Woods (1)
Best Makeup & Hairstyling: The Grand Budapest Hotel (22), Guardians of the Galaxy (4), Foxcatcher (3)
Best Costume Design: The Grand Budapest Hotel (26), Into the Woods (3)
Best Sound Mixing: Whiplash (15), American Sniper (8), Birdman (4), Interstellar (2)
Best Sound Editing: American Sniper (23), Interstellar (4), Birdman (2)
Best Original Score: The Theory of Everything (21), The Grand Budapest Hotel (7), Interstellar (1)
Best Original Song: 'Glory' (27), 'Everything is Awesome' (1), 'I'm Not Gonna Miss You' (1)
Best Animated Feature: How to Train Your Dragon 2 (26), Big Hero 6 (3)
Best Foreign Film: Ida (25), Wild Tales (3), Timbuktu (1)
Best Documentary Feature: Citizenfour (26), Virunga (2), Finding Vivian Maier (1)
Best Documentary Short: Crisis Hotline: Veteran Press 1 (22), Joanna (6), Our Curse (1)
Best Live-Action Short: The Phone Call (21), Boogaloo and Graham (5), Parvaneh (3)
Best Animation Short: Feast (24), The Dam Keeper (4), The Bigger Picture (1)

Финальные прогнозы специалистов (Anne Thompson, Peter Knegt, Scott Feinberg, Jack Moulton, Michael Balderston, Michael Ward, Joey Magidson, Clayton Davis, Cristina Lule, Slant Magazine, Kristopher Tapley) на лауреатов "Оскара-2015": 

Best Picture:
Peter Knegt: 'Boyhood'
Scott Feinberg: 'Birdman'
Kristophet Tapley: 'Birdman'
Anne Thompson: 'Boyhood'
Clayton Davis: 'Birdman'
Michael Ward: 'Birdman'
Jack Moulton: 'Birdman'
Michael Balderston: 'Birdman'
Joey Magidson: 'Birdman'
Cristina Lule: 'Boyhood'
Slant Magazine: 'Birdman'

Best Director:
Peter Knegt: Richard Linklater ('Boyhood')
Scott Feinberg: Richard Linklater ('Boyhood')
Kristophet Tapley: Alejandro Gonzalez Innaritu ('Birdman')
Anne Thompson: Alejandro Gonzalez Innaritu ('Birdman')
Clayton Davis: Richard Linklater ('Boyhood')
Michael Ward: Richard Linklater ('Boyhood')
Jack Moulton: Richard Linklater ('Boyhood')
Michael Balderston: Richard Linklater ('Boyhood')
Joey Magidson: Alejandro Gonzalez Innaritu ('Birdman')
Cristina Lule: Alejandro Gonzalez Innaritu ('Birdman')
Slant Magazine: Alejandro Gonzalez Innaritu ('Birdman')

Best Actor:
Peter Knegt: Eddie Redmayne ('The Theory of Everything')
Scott Feinberg: Eddie Redmayne ('The Theory of Everything')
Kristophet Tapley: Eddie Redmyne ('The Theory of Everything')
Anne Thompson: Michael Keaton ('Birdman')
Clayton Davis: Michael Keaton ('Birdman')
Michael Ward: Eddie Redmayne('The Theory of Everything')
Jack Moulton: Eddie Redmayne ('The Theory of Everything')
Michael Balderston: Eddie Redmayne ('The Theory of Everything')
Joey Magidson: Eddie Redmayne ('The Theory of Everything')
Cristina Lule: Eddie Redmayne ('The Theory of Everything')
Slant Magazine: Eddie Redmayne ('The Theory of Everything')

Best Actress:
Peter Knegt: Julianne Moore ('Still Alice')
Scott Feinberg: Julianne Moore ('Still Alice')
Kristophet Tapley: Julianne Moore ('Still Alice')
Anne Thompson: Julianne Moore ('Still Alice')
Clayton Davis: Julianne Moore ('Still Alice')
Michael Ward: Julianne Moore ('Still Alice')
Jack Moulton: Julianne Moore ('Still Alice')
Michael Balderston: Julianne Moore ('Still Alice')
Joey Magidson: Julianne Moore ('Still Alice')
Cristina Lule: Julianne Moore ('Still Alice')
Slant Magazine: Julianne Moore ('Still Alice')

Best Supporting Actor:
Peter Knegt: J.K. Simmons ('Whiplash')
Scott Feinberg: J.K. Simmons ('Whiplash')
Kristophet Tapley: J.K. Simmons ('Whiplash')
Anne Thompson: J.K. Simmons ('Whiplash')
Clayton Davis: J.K. Simmons ('Whiplash')
Michael Ward: J.K. Simmons ('Whiplash')
Jack Moulton: J.K. Simmons ('Whiplash')
Michael Balderston: J.K. Simmons ('Whiplash')
Joey Magidson: J.K. Simmons ('Whiplash')
Cristina Lule: J.K. Simmons ('Whiplash')
Slant Magazine: J.K. Simmons ('Whiplash')

Best Supporting Actress:
Peter Knegt: Patricia Arquette ('Boyhood')
Scott Feinberg: Patricia Arquette ('Boyhood')
Kristophet Tapley: Patricia Arquette ('Boyhood')
Anne Thompson: Patricia Arquette ('Boyhood')
Clayton Davis: Patricia Arquette ('Boyhood')
Joey Magidson: Patricia Arquette ('Boyhood')
Michael Ward: Patricia Arquette ('Boyhood')
Jack Moulton: Patricia Arquette ('Boyhood')
Michael Balderston: Patricia Arquette ('Boyhood')
Joey Magidson: Patricia Arquette ('Boyhood')
Cristina Lule: Patricia Arquette ('Boyhood')
Slant Magazine: Patricia Arquette ('Boyhood')

Best Original Screenplay:
Peter Knegt: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Scott Feinberg: 'The Grand Budapet Hotel'
Kristophet Tapley: 'Birdman'
Anne Thompson: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Clayton Davis: 'Birdman'
Michael Ward: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Jack Moulton: 'Birdman'
Michael Balderston: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Joey Magidson: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Cristina Lule: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Slant Magazine: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'

Best Adapted Screenplay:
Peter Knegt: 'Whiplash"
Scott Feinberg: 'Whiplash'
Kristophet Tapley: 'The Imitation Game'
Anne Thompson: 'The Imitation Game'
Clayton Davis: 'The Imitation Game'
Michael Ward: 'Whiplash'
Jack Moulton: 'The Imitation Game'
Michael Balderston: 'The Imitation Game'
Joey Magidson: 'The Imitation Game'
Cristina Lule: 'The Imitation Game'
Slant Magazine: 'Whiplash'

Best Editing:
Peter Knegt: 'Boyhood'
Scott Feinberg: 'Boyhood'
Kristophet Tapley: 'Boyhood'
Anne Thompson: 'Boyhood'
Clayton Davis: 'Boyhood'
Michael Ward: 'Whiplash'
Jack Moulton: 'Boyhood'
Michael Balderston: 'Boyhood'
Joey Magidson: 'Whiplash'
Cristina Lule: 'Boyhood'
Slant Magazine: 'Whiplash'

Best Cinematography:
Peter Knegt: Emmanuel Lubezki ('Birdman')
Scott Feinberg: Emmanuel Lubezki ('Birdman')
Kristophet Tapley: Emmanuel Lubezki ('Birdman'
Anne Thompson: Emmanuel Lubezki ('Birdman')
Clayton Davis: Emmanuel Lubezki ('Birdman')
Michael Ward: Emmanuel Lubezki ('Birdman')
Jack Moulton: Emmanuel Lubezki ('Birdman')
Michael Balderston: Emmanuel Lubezki ('Birdman')
Joey Magidson: Emmanuel Lubezki ('Birdman')
Cristina Lule: Emmanuel Lubezki ('Birdman')
Slant Magazine: Emmanuel Lubezki ('Birdman')

Best Visual Effects:
Peter Knegt: 'Interstellar'
Scott Feinberg: 'Interstellar'
Kristophet Tapley: 'Interstellar'
Anne Thompson: 'Dawn of the Planet of the Apes'
Clayton Davis: 'Interstellar'
Michael Ward: 'Dawn of the Planet of the Apes'
Jack Moulton: 'Interstellar'
Michael Balderston: 'Interstellar'
Joey Magidson: 'Interstellar'
Cristina Lule: 'Interstellar'
Slant Magazine: 'Interstellar'

Best Production Design:
Peter Knegt: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Scott Feinberg: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Kristophet Tapley: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Anne Thompson: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Clayton Davis: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Michael Ward: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Jack Moulton: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Michael Balderston: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Joey Magidson: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Cristina Lule: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Slant Magazine: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'

Best Makeup & Hairstyling:
Peter Knegt: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Scott Feinberg: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Kristophet Tapley: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Anne Thompson: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Clayton Davis: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Michael Ward: 'Guardians of the Galaxy'
Jack Moulton: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Michael Balderston: 'Guardians of the Galaxy'
Joey Magidson: 'Guardians of the Galaxy'
Cristina Lule: 'Foxcatcher'
Slant Magazine: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'

Best Costume Design:
Peter Knegt: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Scott Feinberg: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Kristophet Tapley: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Anne Thompson: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Clayton Davis: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Michael Ward: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Jack Moulton: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Michael Balderston: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Joey Magidson: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Cristina Lule: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Slant Magazine: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'

Best Sound Mixing:
Peter Knegt: 'Whiplash'
Scott Feinberg: 'American Sniper'
Kristophet Tapley: 'Birdman'
Anne Thompson: 'Birdman'
Clayton Davis: 'Birdman'
Michael Ward: 'Birdman'
Jack Moulton: 'American Sniper'
Michael Balderston: 'Whiplash'
Joey Magidson: 'Birdman'
Cristina Lule: 'American Sniper'
Slant Magazine: 'Whiplash'

Best Sound Editing:
Peter Knegt: 'American Sniper'
Scott Feinberg: 'American Sniper'
Kristophet Tapley: 'American Sniper'
Anne Thompson: 'American Sniper'
Clayton Davis: 'American Sniper'
Michael Ward: 'American Sniper'
Jack Moulton: 'American Sniper'
Michael Balderston: 'American Sniper''
Joey Magidson: 'Birdman'
Cristina Lule: 'American Sniper'
Slant Magazine: 'American Sniper'

Best Original Score:
Peter Knegt: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Scott Feinberg: 'The Theory of Everything'
Kristophet Tapley: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Anne Thompson: 'The Grand Budapest Hotel'
Clayton Davis: 'The Theory of Everything'
Michael Ward: 'The Theory of Everything'
Jack Moulton: 'The Theory of Everything'
Michael Balderston: 'The Theory of Everything'
Joey Magidson: 'The Theory of Everything'
Cristina Lule: 'The Theory of Everything'
Slant Magazine: 'The Theory of Everything'

Best Original Song:
Peter Knegt: 'Glory'
Scott Feinberg: 'I'm Not Gonna Miss You'
Kristophet Tapley: 'Glory'
Anne Thompson: 'Glory'
Clayton Davis: 'Glory'
Michael Ward: 'Glory'
Jack Moulton: 'Glory'
Michael Balderston: 'Glory'
Joey Magidson: 'Glory'
Cristina Lule: 'Glory'
Slant Magazine: 'Glory'

Best Animated Feature:
Peter Knegt: 'How to Train Your Dragon 2'
Scott Feinberg: 'How to Train Your Dragon 2'
Kristophet Tapley:'How to Train Your Dragon 2'
Anne Thompson: 'How to Train Your Dragon 2'
Clayton Davis: 'How to Train Your Dragon 2'
Michael Ward: 'How to Train Your Dragon 2'
Jack Moulton: 'How to Train Your Dragon 2'
Michael Balderston: 'How to Train Your Dragon 2'
Joey Magidson: 'How to Train Your Dragon 2'
Cristina Lule: 'Big Hero 6'
Slant Magazine: 'How to Train Your Dragon 2'

Best Foreign Film:
Peter Knegt: 'Wild Tales'
Scott Feinberg: 'Ida'
Kristophet Tapley: 'Ida'
Anne Thompson: 'Ida'
Clayton Davis: 'Ida'
Michael Ward: 'Ida'
Jack Moulton: 'Ida'
Michael Balderston: 'Ida'
Joey Magidson: 'Ida'
Cristina Lule: 'Ida'
Slant Magazine: 'Ida'

Best Documentary Feature:
Peter Knegt: 'Citizenfour'
Scott Feinberg: 'Citizenfour'
Kristophet Tapley: 'Citizenfour'
Anne Thompson: 'Citizenfour'
Clayton Davis: 'Citizenfour'
Michael Ward: 'Citizenfour'
Jack Moulton: 'Citizenfour'
Michael Balderston: 'Citizenfour'
Joey Magidson: 'Citizenfour'
Cristina Lule: 'Citizenfour'
Slant Magazine: 'Virunga'

Best Documentary Short:
Peter Knegt: 'Joanna'
Scott Feinberg: 'Joanna'
Kristophet Tapley: 'Joanna'
Anne Thompson: 'Crisis Hotline: Veteran Press 1'
Clayton Davis: 'Crisis Hotline: Veteran Press 1'
Michael Ward: 'Crisis Hotline: Veteran Press 1'
Jack Moulton: 'Crisis Hotline: Veteran Press 1'
Michael Balderston: 'Crisis Hotline: Veteran Press 1'
Joey Magidson: 'Crisis Hotline: Veteran Press 1'
Cristina Lule: 'Crisis Hotline: Veteran Press 1'
Slant Magazine: 'Our Curse'

Best Live-Action Short:
Peter Knegt: "The Phone Call'
Scott Feinberg: 'Parvaneh'
Kristophet Tapley: 'The Phone Call'
Anne Thompson:  'Boogaloo and Graham'
Clayton Davis: 'The Phone Call'
Michael Ward: 'The Phone Call'
Jack Moulton: 'The Phone Call'
Michael Balderston: 'The Phone Call'
Joey Magidson: 'The Phone Call'
Cristina Lule: 'Boogaloo and Graham'
Slant Magazine: 'The Phone Call'

Best Animation Short:
Peter Knegt: 'Feast'
Scott Feinberg: 'The Dam Keeper'
Kristophet Tapley: 'Feast;
Anne Thompson: 'The Bigger Picture'
Clayton Davis: 'The Dam Keeper'
Michael Ward: 'Feast'
Jack Moulton: 'Feast'
Michael Balderston: 'Feast'
Joey Magidson: 'Feast'
Cristina Lule: 'Feast'
Slant Magazine: 'The Dam Keeper'

В ночь с 22 на 23 февраля состоится торжественная церемония награждения лауреатов очередного "Оскара". Этот сезон был длинным, интересным и драйвовым. В Америке до сих пор расходятся мнения по поводу победы даже в "лучшем фильме", а это означает то, что будущий виннер никому неизвестен. И это довольно круто!

Ставки сделаны, ставок больше нет. Ниже мой прогноз на "Оскар". 

My Oscar Prediction:
Best Picture: Birdman
Best Director: Alejandro González Iñárritu (Birdman)
Best Actor: Eddie Redmayne (The Theory of Everything)
Best Actress: Julianne Moore (Still Alice)
Best Supporting Actor: J.K. Simmons (Whiplash)
Best Supporting Actress: Patricia Arquette (Boyhood)
Best Original Screenplay: The Grand Budapest Hotel
Best Adapted Screenplay: The Imitation Game
Best Editing: Boyhood
Best Cinematography: Emmanuel Lubezki (Birdman)
Best Visual Effects: Interstellar
Best Production Design: The Grand Budapest Hotel
Best Makeup & Hairstyling: Guardians of the Galaxy
Best Costume Design: The Grand Budapest Hotel
Best Sound Mixing: Birdman
Best Sound Editing: American Sniper
Best Original Score: The Theory of Everything
Best Original Song: 'Glory'
Best Animated Feature: How to Train Your Dragon 2
Best Foreign Film: Ida
Best Documentary Feature: Citizenfour
Best Documentary Short: Joanna
Best Live-Action Short: The Phone Call
Best Animation Short: The Dam Keeper

Через пять дней состоится награждение лауреатов американской Киноакадемии. В отличие от предыдущих годов, во многих категориях мало что ясно. Я выбрал для "затравки" 10 основных интриг церемонии. Итак, главные дуэли:

1. Boyhood vs Birdman (Best Picture)
2. Linklater vs Innaritu (Best Director)
3. The Grand Budapest Hotel vs Birdman (Best Screenplay)
4. The Imitation Game vs Whiplash (Best Adapted Screenplay)
5. Boyhood vs Whiplash (Best Editing)
6. Eddie Redmayne vs Michael Keaton (Best Actor)
7. Ida vs Wild Tales (Best Foreign Film)
8. Interstellar vs Dawn of the Planet of the Apes (Best Visual Effects)
9. The Theory of Everything vs The Grand Budapest Hotel (Best Original Score)
10. The Grand Budapest Hotel vs Guardians of the Galaxy (Best Makeup)

В других категориях вроде бы все "очевидно", хотя это только на поверхности. Сенсация может грянуть там, где и не ждали. 

В этом сезоне сложилась уникальная ситуация. Такого никогда еще не было. "Бердмэн" берет все главные награды гильдий (SAG, DGA, PGA). Кажется, что это явный фаворит. Однако, он проигрывает в основной категории на BFCA, "Бафте" и "Глобусе". "Отрочество" совершенно не пользуется поддержкой индустрии (только одна победа на "Эдди"), но берет "Глобус" и "Бафту". К тому же хайп по фильму у критиков стоит до сих пор. Еще ни один фильм не выигрывал ВР с фиаско во всех четырех гильдиях (WGA, DGA, SAG, PGA). Потому если "Отрочество" возьмет "Оскар", это будет уникальный случай. Но у "Бердмэна" нет номинации на монтаж (никто со времен "Обыкновенных людей" не брал ВР без этой номинации). К тому же он проиграл все основные прекурсоры (кроме PGA). По статистике около 30% членов гильдий являются киноакадемиками (и только 8% из Бафты). Скажется ли это в пользу Иньярриту?

Year / SAG / GG / BAFTA
1995. Hanks (Forrest Gump) / Hanks (Forrest Gump) / Hugh Grant (Four Weddings and a Funeral)
1996. Cage (Leaving Las Vegas) / Cage (Leaving Las Vegas) / Nigel Hawtorne (The Madness of King George)
1997. Rush (Shine) / Rush (Shine) / Rush (Shine)
1998. Nicholson (As Good as It Gets) / Nicholson (As Good as It Gets) / Carlyle (Full Monty)
1999. Benigni (Life is Beautiful) / Carrey (The Truman Show) / Benigni (Life is Beautiful)
2000. Spacey (American Beauty) / Washington (The Hurricane) / Spacey (American Beauty)
2001. Del Toro (Traffic) / Hanks (Cast Away) / Jamie Bell (Billy Elliott)
2002. Crowe (A Beautiful Mind) / Crowe (A Beautuful Mind) / Crowe (A Beautiful Mind)
2003. Day-Lewis (Gangs of New Tork) / Nicholson (About Schmidt) / Day-Lewis (Gangs of New York)
2004. Depp (Pirates of the Caribbean) / Penn (Mystic River) / Murray (Lost in Translation)
2005. Foxx (Ray) / Foxx (Ray) / Foxx (Ray)
2006. Seymour Hoffman (Capote) / Seymour Hoffman (Capote) / Seymour Hoffman (Capote)
2007. Whitaker (Last King of Scotland) / Whitaker (Last King of Scotland) / Whitaker (Last King of Scotland)
2008. Day-Lewis (There Will Be Blood) / Day-Lewis (There Will Be Blood) / Day-Lewis (There Will Be Blood)
2009. Penn (Milk) / Rourke (The Wrestler) / Rourke (The Wrestler)
2010. Bridges (Crazy Heart) / Bridges (Crazy Heart) / Firth (A Single Man)
2011. Firth (The King's Speech) / Firth (The King's Speech / Firth (The King's Speech)
2012. Dujardin (The Artist) / Dujardin (The Artist) / Dujardin (The Artist)
2013. Day-Lewis (Lincoln) / Day-Lewis (Lincoln) / Day-Lewis (Lincoln)
2014. MacConaughey (Dallas Buyers Club) / MacConaughey (Dallas Buyers Club / Ejiofor (12 Years A Slave)
2015. Redmayne (Theory of Everything) / Redmayne (Theory of Everything) / Redmayne (Theory of Everything)

SAG / Oscar: 16/20 (80%) c учетом Дель Торо с оскаром в суппорте 17/20 (85%)
BAFTA / Oscar: 11/20 (55%)
GG / Oscar: 14/20 (70%)

Кто выиграл триплет (САГ, Бафта, Глобус) и проиграл "Оскар"? - Рассел Кроу ("Игры разума")

Кто выигрывал "Оскар" без побед (САГ, Бафта, Глобус)? - Рассел Кроу ("Гладиатор"), Эдриан Броуди ("Пианист"), Дэнзел Вашингтон ("Тренировочный день)

Oscar / BAFTA / VES
2003. The Two Towers / The Two Towers / The Two Towers
2004. The Return of the King / The Return of the King / The Retun of the King
2005. Spider Man 2 / The Day After Tomorrow / Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban
2006. King Kong / King Kong / King Kong 
2007. Pirates of the Caribbean / Pirates of the Caribbean / Pirates of the Caribbean
2008. The Golden Compass / The Golden Compass / Transformers
2009. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button / The Curious Case of Benjamin Button / The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
2010. Avatar / Avatar / Avatar 
2011. Inception / Inception / Inception
2012. Hugo* / Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows / Rise of the Planet of the Apes
2013. Life of Pi / Life of Pi / Life of Pi
2014. Gravity / Gravity / Gravity
2015. ???? / Interstellar / Dawn of the Planet of the Apes

С 2003 года "Оскар" и "Бафта" совпадали: 10 раз из 12 (83%)
С 2003 года "Оскар" и VES совпадали: 9 раз из 12 (75%)
С 2003 года "Оскар", "Бафта" и VES совпадали: 9 раз из 12 (75%)

* Hugo выиграл гильдию в "спецэффектах второго плана".