Декабрьский (28 декабря) прогноз Скотта Файнберга по поводу номинантов "Оскара":

Best Picture
La La Land (Lionsgate)
Moonlight (A24)
Manchester by the Sea (Amazon/Roadside Attractions)
Hell or High Water (CBS Films)
Lion (The Weinstein Co.)
Hacksaw Ridge (Lionsgate)
Fences (Paramount)
Hidden Figures (Fox)
Arrival (Paramount)
Sully (Warner Bros.)

Best Director
Damien Chazelle (La La Land)
Barry Jenkins (Moonlight)
Kenneth Lonergan (Manchester by the Sea)
Mel Gibson (Hacksaw Ridge)
Garth Davis (Lion)

Best Actor
Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea)
Denzel Washington (Fences)
Ryan Gosling (La La Land)
Viggo Mortensen (Captain Fantastic)
Andrew Garfield (Hacksaw Ridge)

Best Actress
Emma Stone (La La Land)
Natalie Portman (Jackie)
Meryl Streep (Florence Foster Jenkins)
Annette Bening (20th Century Women)
Amy Adams (Arrival)

Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)
Jeff Bridges (Hell or High Water)
Dev Patel (Lion)
Lucas Hedges (Manchester by the Sea)
Ben Foster (Hell or High Water)

Best Supporting Actress
Viola Davis (Fences)
Naomie Harris (Moonlight)
Nicole Kidman (Lion)
Michelle Williams (Manchester by the Sea)
Greta Gerwig (20th Century Women)

Best Adapted Screenplay
Moonlight (Barry Jenkins)
Lion (Luke Davies)
Hacksaw Ridge (Andrew Knight, Robert Schenkkan)
Fences (August Wilson)
Arrival (Eric Heisserer)

Best Original Screenplay
Manchester by the Sea (Kenneth Lonergan)
La La Land (Damien Chazelle)
Hell or High Water (Taylor Sheridan)
The Lobster (Yorgos Lanthimos, Efthymis Filippou)
Captain Fantastic (Matt Ross)

Best Cinematography
La La Land (Linus Sandgren)
Moonlight (James Laxton)
Arrival (Bradford Young)
Nocturnal Animals (Seamus McGarvey)
Silence (Rodrigo Prieto)

Декабрьский (19 декабря) прогноз Скотта Файнберга по поводу номинантов "Оскара":

Best Picture
La La Land (Lionsgate)
Moonlight (A24)
Manchester by the Sea (Amazon/Roadside Attractions)
Lion (The Weinstein Co.)
Hell or High Water (CBS Films)
Hacksaw Ridge (Lionsgate)
Hidden Figures (Fox)
Arrival (Paramount)
Jackie (Fox Searchlight)
Sully (Warner Bros.)

Best Director
Damien Chazelle (La La Land)
Barry Jenkins (Moonlight)
Kenneth Lonergan (Manchester by the Sea)
Mel Gibson (Hacksaw Ridge)
Denis Villeneueve (Arrival)

Best Actor
Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea)
Denzel Washington (Fences)
Ryan Gosling (La La Land)
Andrew Garfield (Hacksaw Ridge)
Viggo Mortensen (Captain Fantastic)

Best Actress
Emma Stone (La La Land)
Natalie Portman (Jackie)
Meryl Streep (Florence Foster Jenkins)
Isabelle Huppert (Elle)
Annette Bening (20th Century Women)

Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)
Jeff Bridges (Hell or High Water)
Dev Patel (Lion)
Lucas Hedges (Manchester by the Sea)
Ben Foster (Hell or High Water)

Best Supporting Actress
Viola Davis (Fences)
Naomie Harris (Moonlight)
Nicole Kidman (Lion)
Michelle Williams (Manchester by the Sea)
Octavia Spencer (Hidden Figures)

Best Adapted Screenplay
Moonlight (Barry Jenkins)
Lion (Luke Davies)
Fences (August Wilson)
Arrival (Eric Heisserer)
Hacksaw Ridge (Andrew Knight, Robert Schenkkan)

Best Original Screenplay
Manchester by the Sea (Kenneth Lonergan)
La La Land (Damien Chazelle)
Hell or High Water (Taylor Sheridan)
The Lobster (Yorgos Lanthimos, Efthymis Filippou)
Captain Fantastic (Matt Ross)

Best Cinematography
La La Land (Linus Sandgren)
Moonlight (James Laxton)
Arrival (Bradford Young)
Nocturnal Animals (Seamus McGarvey)
Silence (Rodrigo Prieto)

Декабрьский (19 декабря) прогноз Клэйтона Дэвиса по поводу номинантов "Оскара":

Best Picture:
“Moonlight” (A24):
“La La Land” (Summit Entertainment):
“Manchester by the Sea” (Amazon Studios):
“Silence” (Paramount Pictures):
“Fences” (Paramount Pictures):
“Hacksaw Ridge” (Lionsgate):
“Lion” (The Weinstein Company):
“Arrival” (Paramount Pictures):
“Hell or High Water” (CBS Films):

Best Director:
Barry Jenkins – “Moonlight“:
Damien Chazelle – “La La Land“:
Martin Scorsese – “Silence“:
Kenneth Lonergan – “Manchester by the Sea“:
Denis Villeneuve – “Arrival“:

Best Actor:
Denzel Washington – “Fences“:
Casey Affleck – “Manchester by the Sea“:
Viggo Mortensen – “Captain Fantastic“:
Ryan Gosling – “La La Land“:
Andrew Garfield – “Hacksaw Ridge“:

Best Actress:
Natalie Portman – “Jackie“:
Emma Stone – “La La Land“:
Amy Adams – “Arrival“:
Meryl Streep – “Florence Foster Jenkins“:
Ruth Negga – “Loving“:

Best Supporting Actor:
Mahershala Ali – “Moonlight“:
Hugh Grant – “Florence Foster Jenkins“:
Dev Patel – “Lion“:
Jeff Bridges – “Hell or High Water“:
Issey Ogata – “Silence“:

Best Supporting Actress:
Viola Davis – “Fences“:
Naomie Harris – “Moonlight“:
Nicole Kidman – “Lion“:
Michelle Williams – “Manchester by the Sea“:
Octavia Spencer – “Hidden Figures“:

Best Adapted Screenplay:
“Moonlight” – Barry Jenkins, Tarell McCraney:
“Fences” – August Wilson:
“Lion” – Luke Davies:
“Arrival” – Eric Heisserer:
“Loving” – Jeff Nichols:

Best Original Screenplay:
“Manchester by the Sea” – Kenneth Lonergan:
“La La Land” – Damien Chazelle:
“Hell or High Water” – Taylor Sheridan:
“The Lobster” – Efthimis Filippou, Yorgos Lanthimos:
“Captain Fantastic” – Matt Ross:

Best Cinematography:
“Silence” – Rodrigo Prieto:
“La La Land” – Linus Sandgren:
“Arrival” – Bradford Young:
“Moonlight” – James Laxton:
“Hacksaw Ridge” – Simon Duggan:

Декабрьский (13 декабря) прогноз Скотта Файнберга по поводу номинантов "Оскара":

Best Picture
La La Land (Lionsgate)
Moonlight (A24)
Manchester by the Sea (Amazon/Roadside Attractions)
Lion (The Weinstein Co.)
Hell or High Water (CBS Films)
Hacksaw Ridge (Lionsgate)
Fences (Paramount)
Arrival (Paramount)
Silence (Paramount)
Jackie (Fox Searchlight)

Best Director
Damien Chazelle (La La Land)
Barry Jenkins (Moonlight)
Kenneth Lonergan (Manchester by the Sea)
Mel Gibson (Hacksaw Ridge)
Denis Villeneueve (Arrival)

Best Actor
Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea)
Ryan Gosling (La La Land)
Denzel Washington (Fences)
Andrew Garfield (Hacksaw Ridge)
Joel Edgerton (Loving)

Best Actress
Emma Stone (La La Land)
Natalie Portman (Jackie)
Annette Bening (20th Century Women)
Isabelle Huppert (Elle)
Meryl Streep (Florence Foster Jenkins)

Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)
Jeff Bridges (Hell or High Water)
Dev Patel (Lion)
Lucas Hedges (Manchester by the Sea)
Ben Foster (Hell or High Water)

Best Supporting Actress
Viola Davis (Fences)
Naomie Harris (Moonlight)
Nicole Kidman (Lion)
Michelle Williams (Manchester by the Sea)
Greta Gerwig (20th Century Women)

Best Adapted Screenplay
Lion (Luke Davies)
Arrival (Eric Heisserer)
Hacksaw Ridge (Andrew Knight, Robert Schenkkan)
Fences (August Wilson)
Sully (Todd Komarnicki)

Best Original Screenplay
Manchester by the Sea (Kenneth Lonergan)
Moonlight (Barry Jenkins)
La La Land (Damien Chazelle)
Hell or High Water (Taylor Sheridan)
The Lobster (Yorgos Lanthimos, Efthymis Filippou)

Best Cinematography
Moonlight (James Laxton)
La La Land (Linus Sandgren)
Arrival (Bradford Young)
Jackie (Stephane Fontaine)
Nocturnal Animals (Seamus McGarvey)

Прогноз Криса Тэпли на номинантов "Золотого Глобуса" этого сезона:

Best Picture - Drama
“Hacksaw Ridge”
“Hidden Figures”
“Lion”
“Manchester by the Sea”
“Moonlight”
alt. “Hell or High Water”

Best Picture - Comedy or Musical
“Florence Foster Jenkins”
“Hail, Caesar!”
“La La Land”
“Rules Don’t Apply”
“20th Century Women”
alt. “Love & Friendship”

Best Director
Damien Chazelle (“La La Land”)
Clint Eastwood (“Sully”)
Mel Gibson (“Hacksaw Ridge”)
Tom Ford (“Nocturnal Animals”)
Barry Jenkins (“Moonlight”)
alt. Martin Scorsese (“Silence”)

Best Actor - Drama
Casey Affleck (“Manchester by the Sea”)
Andrew Garfield (“Hacksaw Ridge”)
Tom Hanks (“Sully”)
Viggo Mortensen (“Captain Fantastic”)
Denzel Washington (“Fences”)
alt. Michael Keaton, “The Founder”

Best Actress - Drama
Amy Adams (“Arrival”)
Taraji P. Henson (“Hidden Figures”)
Isabelle Huppert (“Elle”)
Ruth Negga (“Loving”)
Natalie Portman (“Jackie”)
alt. Emily Blunt (“The Girl on the Train”)

Best Actor - Comedy or Musical
Warren Beatty (“Rules Don’t Apply”)
Robert De Niro (“The Comedian”)
Ryan Gosling (“La La Land”)
Hugh Grant (“Florence Foster Jenkins”)
Ryan Reynolds (“Deadpool”)
alt. George Clooney (“Hail, Caesar!”)

Best Actress - Comery or Musical
Kate Beckinsale (“Love & Friendship”)
Annette Bening (“20th Century Women”)
Emma Stone (“La La Land”)
Meryl Streep (“Florence Foster Jenkins”)
Renee Zellweger (“Bridge Jones’s Baby”)
alt. Hailee Steinfeld (“The Edge of Seventeen”)

Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali (“Moonlight”)
Jeff Bridges (“Hell or High Water”)
Kevin Costner (“Hidden Figures”)
Dev Patel (“Lion”)
Michael Shannon (“Nocturnal Animals”)
alt. Ralph Fiennes (“A Bigger Splash”)

Best Supporting Actress
Viola Davis (“Fences”)
Naomie Harris (“Moonlight”)
Nicole Kidman (“Lion”)
Helen Mirren (“Eye in the Sky”)
Michelle Williams (“Manchester by the Sea”)
alt. Janelle Monae (“Hidden Figures”)

Best Screenplay
“Arrival”
“Fences”
“La La Land”
“Manchester by the Sea”
“Moonlight”
alt. “Captain Fantastic”

Best Motion Picture – Animated
“Kubo and the Two Strings”
“Moana”
“My Life as a Zucchini”
“Sing”
“Zootopia”
alt. “Sausage Party”

Best Motion Picture – Foreign Language
“Afterimage”
“Elle”
“Land of Mine”
“Neruda”
“Toni Erdmann”
alt. “Julieta”

Best Original Score
“Arrival”
“Jackie”
“La La Land”
“Lion”
“Moonlight”
alt. “The BFG”

Best Original Song
“Runnin'” from “Hidden Figures” “City of Stars” from “La La Land”
“How Far I’ll Go” from “Moana”
“Go Now” from “Sing Street”
“Can’t Stop the Feeling!” from “Trolls”
alt. “Faith” from “Sing”

Декабрьский (5 декабря) прогноз Скотта Файнберга по поводу номинантов "Оскара":

Best Picture
La La Land (Lionsgate)
Moonlight (A24)
Manchester by the Sea (Amazon/Roadside Attractions)
Hell or High Water (CBS Films)
Lion (The Weinstein Co.)
Hidden Figures (Fox)
Loving (Focus Features)
Hacksaw Ridge (Lionsgate)
Silence (Paramount)
Sully (Warner Bros.)

Best Director
Barry Jenkins (Moonlight)
Damien Chazelle (La La Land)
Kenneth Lonergan (Manchester by the Sea)
Martin Scorsese (Silence)
Mel Gibson (Hacksaw Ridge)

Best Actor
Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea)
Ryan Gosling (La La Land)
Denzel Washington (Fences)
Andrew Garfield (Hacksaw Ridge)
Tom Hanks (Sully)

Best Actress
Emma Stone (La La Land)
Natalie Portman (Jackie)
Annette Bening (20th Century Women)
Isabelle Huppert (Elle)
Meryl Streep (Florence Foster Jenkins)

Best Supporting Actor
Jeff Bridges (Hell or High Water)
Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)
Dev Patel (Lion)
Lucas Hedges (Manchester by the Sea)
Ben Foster (Hell or High Water)

Best Supporting Actress
Naomie Harris (Moonlight)
Viola Davis (Fences)
Nicole Kidman (Lion)
Michelle Williams (Manchester by the Sea)
Greta Gerwig (20th Century Women)

Best Adapted Screenplay
Lion (Luke Davies)
Fences (August Wilson)
Sully (Todd Komarnicki)
Hacksaw Ridge (Andrew Knight, Robert Schenkkan)
Arrival (Eric Heisserer)

Best Original Screenplay
Moonlight (Barry Jenkins)
Manchester by the Sea (Kenneth Lonergan)
Hell or High Water (Taylor Sheridan)
La La Land (Damien Chazelle)
The Lobster (Yorgos Lanthimos, Efthymis Filippou)

Best Cinematography
Moonlight (James Laxton)
La La Land (Linus Sandgren)
Silence (Rodrigo Prieto)
Arrival (Bradford Young)
Jackie (Stephane Fontaine)

Прогноз Криса Тэпли по поводу номинантов "Оскара" от 5 декабря:

Best Picture
"La La Land" (Lionsgate)
"Fences" (Paramount Pictures)
"Moonlight" (A24)
"Manchester by the Sea" (Amazon/Roadside Attractions)
"Lion" (The Weinstein Co.)
"Hell or High Water" (CBS Films)
"Hacksaw Ridge" (Lionsgate)
"Silence" (Paramount Pictures)
"Florence Foster Jenkins" (Paramount Pictures)
"Loving" (Focus Features)

Best Director
Damien Chazelle ("La La Land")
Barry Jenkins ("Moonlight")
Denzel Washington ("Fences")
Kenneth Lonergan ("Manchester by the Sea")
Martin Scorsese ("Silence")

Best Actor
Denzel Washington ("Fences")
Casey Affleck ("Manchester by the Sea")
Ryan Gosling ("La La Land")
Tom Hanks ("Sully")
Andrew Garfield ("Hacksaw Ridge")

Best Actress
Emma Stone ("La La Land")
Natalie Portman ("Jackie")
Annette Bening ("20th Century Women")
Meryl Streep ("Florence Foster Jenkins")
Isabelle Huppert ("Elle")

Best Supporting Actor
Jeff Bridges ("Hell or High Water")
Mahershala Ali ("Moonlight")
Dev Patel ("Lion")
Hugh Grant ("Florence Foster Jenkins")
Mykelti Williamson ("Fences")

Best Supporting Actress
Viola Davis ("Fences")
Michelle Williams ("Manchester by the Sea")
Naomie Harris ("Moonlight")
Nicole Kidman ("Lion")
Greta Gerwig ("20th Century Women")

Best Adapted Screenplay
"Lion" (Luke Davies)
"Fences" (August Wilson)
"Arrival" (Eric Heisserer)
"Hacksaw Ridge" (Andrew Knight, Robert Schenkkan)
"Sully" (Todd Komarnicki)

Best Original Screenplay
"La La Land" (Damien Chazelle)
"Manchester by the Sea" (Kenneth Lonergan)
"Moonlight" (Barry Jenkins, Tarell McCraney)
"Hell or High Water" (Taylor Sheridan)
"20th Century Women" (Mike Mills)

Best Cinematography
"Silence" (Rodrigo Prieto)
"Live By Night" (Robert Richardson)
"La La Land" (Linus Sandgren)
"Lion" (Greig Fraser)
"Jackie" (Stephane Fontaine)

Посмотрим, насколько схожи прогнозы трех ведущих аналитиков (Файнберг, Дэвис, Тэпли). Ниже опубликованы категории и 1 место каждого специалиста (кто кого видит на данный момент с "Оскаром" перед 2 декабря).

Best Picture
Scott Feinberg: 'La La Land' ('La La Land' - Sept, Octob)
Clayton Davis: 'La La Land' ('La La Land' - Sept, Octob)
Kris Tapley: 'La La Land' ('Silence' - Sept, Octob)

Best Director
Scott Feinberg: Damien Chazelle, 'La La Land' (Damien Chazelle - Sept, Octob)
Clayton Davis: Damien Chazelle, 'La La Land' (Damien Chazelle - Sept, Octob)
Kris Tapley: Denzel Washington, 'Fences' (Martin Scorsese - Sept, Octob)

Best Actor
Scott Feinberg: Denzel Washington, 'Fences' (Denzel Washington - Sept, Casey Affleck - Octob)
Clayton Davis: Denzel Washington, 'Fences' (Denzel Washington - Sept, Casey Affleck - Octob)
Kris Tapley: Denzel Washington, 'Fences' (Denzel Washington - Sept, Octob)

Best Actress
Scott Feinberg: Emma Stone, 'La La Land' (Emma Stone - Sept, Octob)
Clayton Davis: Annette Bening, '20th Century Women' (Viola Davis - Sept, Annette Benning - Octob)
Kris Tapley: Emma Stone, 'La La Land' (Emma Stone - Sept, Octob)

Best Supporting Actor
Scott Feinberg: Jeff Bridges, 'Hell or High Water' (Jeff Bridges - Sept, Octob)
Clayton Davis: Hugh Grant, 'Florence Foster Jenkins' (Liam Neeson - Sept, Hugh Grant - Octob)
Kris Tapley: Jeff Bridges, 'Hell or High Water' (Stephen McKinley Henderson - Sept, Octob)

Best Supporting Actress
Scott Feinberg: Naomie Harris, 'Moonlight' (Naomie Harris - Sept, Octob)
Clayton Davis: Viola Davis, 'Fences' (Michelle Williams - Sept, Viola Davis - Octob)
Kris Tapley: Viola Davis, 'Fences' (Michelle Williams - Sept, Viola Davis - Octob)

Best Original Screenplay
Scott Feinberg: 'Moonlight' ('La La Land' - Sept, 'Moonlight' - Octob)
Clayton Davis: 'Moonlight' ('La La Land' - Sept, Manchester By the Sea - Octob)
Kris Tapley: 'La La Land' ('La La Land' - Sept, Octob)

Best Adapted Screenplay
Scott Feinberg: 'Lion' ('Fences' - Sept, 'Lion' - Octob)
Clayton Davis: 'Fences' ('Fences' - Sept, Octob)
Kris Tapley: 'Silence' ('Fences' - Sept, Octob)

Best Editing
Scott Feinberg: 'La La Land' ('La La Land' - Sept, Octob)
Clayton Davis: 'La La Land' ('La La Land' - Sept, Octob)
Kris Tapley: 'La La Land' ('Silence' - Sept, 'La La Land' - Octob)

Best Cinematography
Scott Feinberg: 'The Jungle Book' ('La La Land' - Sept, 'Billy Lynn's Halftime Long' - Octob)
Clayton Davis: 'Silence' ('Silence' - Sept, Octob)
Kris Tapley: 'Silence' ('Silence' - Sept, Octob)

Best Production Design
Scott Feinberg: 'La La Land' ('La La Land' - Sept, Octob)
Clayton Davis: 'La La Land' ('La La Land' - Sept, Octob)
Kris Tapley: 'Live By Night' ('Live By Night' - Sept, Octob)

Best Costume Design
Scott Feinberg: 'Silence' ('Fences' - Sept, Octob)
Clayton Davis: 'Jackie' ('Fantastic Beasts and Where to FInd Them' - Sept, 'Jackie' - Octob)
Kris Tapley: 'Live By Night' ('Silence' - Sept, Octob)

Best Visual Effects
Scott Feinberg: 'The Jungle Book' ('The Jungle Book' - Sept, Octob)
Clayton Davis: 'The Jungle Book' ('Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk' - Sept, 'The Jungle Book' - Octob)
Kris Tapley: 'The Jungle Book' ('Rogue One' - Sept, Octob)

Best Original Score
Scott Feinberg: 'La La Land' ('Hidden Figures' - Sept, Octob)
Clayton Davis: 'Arrival' ('Arrival' - Sept, Octob)
Kris Tapley: 'The BFG' ('The BFG' - Sept, Octob)

Best Original Song
Scott Feinberg: 'City of Stars' ('Audition' - Sept, 'City of Stars' - Octob)
Clayton Davis: 'Audition' ('Audition' - Sept, Octob)
Kris Tapley: 'Audition' ('Audition' - Sept, Octob)

Best Animated Feature
Scott Feinberg: 'Zootopia' ('Zootopia' - Sept, Octob)
Clayton Davis: 'Moana' ('Moana' - Sept, Octob)
Kris Tapley: 'Zootopia' ('Zootopia' - Sept, Octob)

Ноябрьский (28 ноября) прогноз Скотта Файнберга по поводу номинантов "Оскара":

Best Picture
La La Land (Lionsgate)
Moonlight (A24)
Manchester by the Sea (Amazon/Roadside Attractions)
Lion (The Weinstein Co.)
Fences (Paramount)
Hell or High Water (CBS Films)
Hidden Figures (Fox)
Sully (Warner Bros.)
Jackie (Fox Searchlight)
Patriots Day (CBS Films/Lionsgate)

Best Director
Damien Chazelle (La La Land)
Barry Jenkins (Moonlight)
Kenneth Lonergan (Manchester by the Sea)
Martin Scorsese (Silence)
Denzel Washington (Fences)

Best Actor
Denzel Washington (Fences)
Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea)
Ryan Gosling (La La Land)
Michael Keaton (The Founder)
Warren Beatty (Rules Don't Apply)

Best Actress
Emma Stone (La La Land)
Natalie Portman (Jackie)
Annette Bening (20th Century Women)
Meryl Streep (Florence Foster Jenkins)
Taraji P. Henson (Hidden Figures)

Best Supporting Actor
Jeff Bridges (Hell or High Water)
Dev Patel (Lion)
Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)
Lucas Hedges (Manchester by the Sea)
Kevin Costner (Hidden Figures)

Best Supporting Actress
Naomie Harris (Moonlight)
Viola Davis (Fences)
Nicole Kidman (Lion)
Michelle Williams (Manchester by the Sea)
Janelle Monae (Hidden Figures)

Best Adapted Screenplay
Lion (Luke Davies)
Fences (August Wilson)
Sully (Todd Komarnicki)
Hacksaw Ridge (Andrew Knight, Robert Schenkkan)
Live By Night (Ben Affleck)

Best Original Screenplay
Moonlight (Barry Jenkins)
Manchester by the Sea (Kenneth Lonergan)
Hell or High Water (Taylor Sheridan)
La La Land (Damien Chazelle)
Captain Fantastic (Matt Ross)

Best Cinematography
The Jungle Book (Bill Pope)
Moonlight (James Laxton)
La La Land (Linus Sandgren)
Live By Night (Robert Richardson)
Silence (Rodrigo Prieto)