predictions

Clayton Davis Predictions 2017 Oscars (12 September)

Сентябрьский прогноз Клэйтона Дэвиса по поводу номинантов "Оскара":

Best Picture
“Silence” (Paramount Pictures)
“La La Land” (Summit Entertainment)
“Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk” (Sony Pictures)
“Fences” (Paramount Pictures)
“Hidden Figures” (20th Century Fox)
“Lion” (The Weinstein Company)
“Loving” (Focus Features)
“Moonlight” (A24)
“Arrival” (Paramount Pictures)
“Nocturnal Animals” (Focus Features)

Best Director
Martin Scorsese – “Silence”
Damien Chazelle – “La La Land“
Ang Lee – “Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk”
Denzel Washington – “Fences”
Denis Villenueve – “Arrival“

Best Actor
Denzel Washington – “Fences”
Casey Affleck – “Manchester by the Sea“
Joel Edgerton – “Loving“
Ryan Gosling – “La La Land“
Tom Hanks – “Sully“

Best Actress
Viola Davis – “Fences”
Emma Stone – “La La Land“
Annette Bening – “20th Century Women”
Ruth Negga – “Loving“
Amy Adams – “Nocturnal Animals“

Best Supporting Actor
Liam Neeson – “Silence”
Michael Shannon – “Nocturnal Animals“
Hugh Grant – “Florence Foster Jenkins”
Aaron Eckhart – “Sully“
Mahershala Ali – “Moonlight“

Best Supporting Actress
Michelle Williams – “Manchester by the Sea“
Naomie Harris – “Moonlight“
Kristen Stewart – “Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk”
Octavia Spencer – “Hidden Figures”
Laura Linney – “Nocturnal Animals“

Best Adapted Screenplay
“Fences” – August Wilson
“Silence” – Jay Cocks
“Lion” – Luke Davies
“Nocturnal Animals” – Tom Ford
“Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk” – Jean-Christophe Castelli

Best Original Screenplay
“La La Land” – Damien Chazelle
“Loving” – Jeff Nichols
“Manchester by the Sea” – Kenneth Lonergan
“Moonlight” – Barry Jenkins, Tarell McCraney
“20th Century Women” – Mike Mills

Best Cinematography
“Silence” – Rodrigo Prieto
“Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk” – John Toll
“La La Land” – Linus Sandgren
“Arrival” – Bradford Young
“Nocturnal Animals” – Seamus McGarvey

Теги: 

Scott Feinberg Predictions 2017 Oscars (September)

Сентябрьский прогноз Скотт Файнберга по поводу номинантов "Оскара":

Best Picture
La La Land (Lionsgate)
Fences (Paramount)
Hidden Figures (Fox)
Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk (Sony)
Moonlight (A24)
Lion (The Weinstein Co.)
Jackie (Fox Searchlight)
Manchester by the Sea (Amazon/Roadside Attractions)
The Birth of a Nation (Fox Searchlight) [pictured above]
Silence (Paramount)

Best Director
Damien Chazelle (La La Land)
Denzel Washington (Fences)
Ang Lee (Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk)
Barry Jenkins (Moonlight)
Martin Scorsese (Silence)

Best Actor
Denzel Washington (Fences)
Ryan Gosling (La La Land) [pictured above]
Joseph Gordon-Levitt (Snowden)
Tom Hanks (Sully)
Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea)

Best Actress
Emma Stone (La La Land)
Natalie Portman (Jackie)
Annette Bening (20th Century Women)
Viola Davis (Fences)
Meryl Streep (Florence Foster Jenkins) [pictured above]

Best Supporting Actor
Jeff Bridges (Hell or High Water)
Liam Neeson (Silence)
Mahershala Ali (Moonlight) [pictured above]
Stephen McKinley Henderson (Fences)
Dev Patel (Lion)

Best Supporting Actress
Naomie Harris (Moonlight)
Octavia Spencer (Hidden Figures)
Nicole Kidman (Lion)
Michelle Williams (Manchester by the Sea)
Margo Martindale (The Hollars) [pictured above]

Best Adapted Screenplay
Fences (August Wilson)
Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk (Simon Beaufoy, Jean-Christophe Castelli)
Live By Night (Ben Affleck)
Silence (Jay Cocks)
Lion (Luke Davies) [pictured above]

Best Original Screenplay
La La Land (Damien Chazelle)
Moonlight (Barry Jenkins)
Manchester by the Sea (Kenneth Lonergan)
Hell or High Water (Taylor Sheridan)
Captain Fantastic (Matt Ross)

Best Cinematography
La La Land (Linus Sandgren)
Silence (Rodrigo Prieto)
Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk (John Toll) [pictured above]
Moonlight (James Laxton)
The Happiest Day in the Life of Olli Maki (JP Passi)

Теги: 

Kris Tapley Predictions 2017 Oscars (September)

Сентябрьский прогноз Криса Тэпли по поводу номинантов "Оскара":

Best Picture
"Silence" (Paramount Pictures)
"La La Land" (Lionsgate)
"Fences" (Paramount Pictures)
"Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk" (Sony Pictures)
"Live By Night" (Warner Bros. Pictures)
"Hidden Figures" (20th Century Fox)
"Manchester by the Sea" (Amazon/Roadside Attractions)
"Florence Foster Jenkins" (Paramount Pictures)
"Moonlight" (A24)
"Lion" (The Weinstein Co.)

Best Director
Martin Scorsese ("Silence")
Damien Chazelle ("La La Land")
Denzel Washington ("Fences")
Kenneth Lonergan ("Manchester by the Sea")
Barry Jenkins ("Moonlight")

Best Actor
Denzel Washington ("Fences")
Casey Affleck ("Manchester by the Sea")
Andrew Garfield ("Silence")
Ryan Gosling ("La La Land")
Matthew McConaughey ("Gold")

Best Actress
Emma Stone ("La La Land")
Natalie Portman ("Jackie")
Annette Bening ("20th Century Women")
Meryl Streep ("Florence Foster Jenkins")
Taraji P. Henson ("Hidden Figures")

Best Supporting Actor
Liam Neeson ("Silence")
Stephen McKinley Henderson ("Fences")
Hugh Grant ("Florence Foster Jenkins")
Lucas Hedges ("Manchester by the Sea")
Kevin Costner ("Hidden Figures")

Best Supporting Actress
Viola Davis ("Fences")
Michelle Williams ("Manchester by the Sea")
Naomie Harris ("Moonlight")
Octavia Spencer ("Hidden Figures")
Nicole Kidman ("Lion")

Best Adapted Screenplay
"Fences" (August Wilson)
"Silence" (Jay Cocks)
"Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk" (Simon Beaufoy, Jean-Christophe Castelli)
"Lion" (Luke Davies)
"Hidden Figures" (Theodore Melfi, Allison Schroeder)

Best Original Screenplay
"La La Land" (Damien Chazelle)
"Manchester by the Sea" (Kenneth Lonergan)
"Moonlight" (Barry Jenkins, Tarell McCraney)
"20th Century Women" (Mike Mills)
"Florence Foster Jenkins" (Nicholas Martin)

Best Cinematography
"Silence" (Rodrigo Prieto)
"La La Land" (Linus Sandgren)
"Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk" (John Toll)
"Live By Night" (Robert Richardson)
"Rules Don't Apply" (Caleb Deschanel)

Теги: 

Gurus O’ Gold: Before The Festivals…

Первый выпуск гурусов в этом сезоне:

Top-10:
Manchester By The Sea
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
La La Land
Arrival
Fences
Silence
Loving
Moonlight
Hell or High Water
Bleed for This

Теги: 

Oscar 2016: My Final Winners Predictions

В ночь с 28 на 29 февраля состоится торжественная церемония награждения лауреатов очередного "Оскара". 

Ставки сделаны, ставок больше нет. Ниже мой прогноз на "Оскар". 

My Final Oscar Prediction:
Best Picture: The Big Short
Best Director: Alejandro González Iñárritu (The Revenant)
Best Actor: Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant)
Best Actress: Brie Larson (Room)
Best Supporting Actor: Sylvester Stallone (Creed)
Best Supporting Actress: Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl)
Best Original Screenplay: Spotlight
Best Adapted Screenplay: The Big Short
Best Editing: The Big Short
Best Cinematography: Emmanuel Lubezki (The Revenant)
Best Visual Effects: Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Best Production Design: Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Makeup & Hairstyling: Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Costume Design: Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Sound Mixing: The Revenant
Best Sound Editing: Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Original Score: The Hateful Eight
Best Original Song: 'Till It Happens To You'
Best Animated Feature: Inside Out
Best Foreign Film: Son of Saul
Best Documentary Feature: Amy
Best Documentary Short: Claude Lanzmann: Spectres Of The Shoah
Best Live-Action Short: Shok
Best Animation Short: World of Tomorrow

Теги: 

The Playlist Oscar 2016 Final Predictions Winners

Финальный прогноз The Playlist на лауреатов "Оскара 2016". 

The Playlist Oscar Prediction:
Best Picture: The Big Short
Best Director: Alejandro G. Innaritu (The Revenant)
Best Actor: Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant)
Best Actress: Brie Larson (Room)
Best Supporting Actor: Sylvester Stallone (Creed)
Best Supporting Actress: Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl)
Best Original Screenplay: Spotlight
Best Adapted Screenplay: The Big Short
Best Editing: The Big Short
Best Cinematography: Emmanuel Lubezki (The Revenant)
Best Visual Effects: The Revenant
Best Production Design: Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Makeup & Hairstyling: Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Costume Design: Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Sound Mixing: The Revenant
Best Sound Editing: The Revenant
Best Original Score: The Hateful Eight
Best Original Song: 'Till It Happens To You'
Best Animated Feature: Inside Out
Best Foreign Film: Son of Saul
Best Documentary Feature: Amy

Теги: 

Scott Feinberg Oscar 2016 Final Predictions Winners

Финальный прогноз  Скотта Файнберга на лауреатов "Оскара 2016". 

Scott Feinberg Oscar Prediction:
Best Picture: The Revenant
Best Director: Alejandro G. Innaritu (The Revenant)
Best Actor: Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant)
Best Actress: Brie Larson (Room)
Best Supporting Actor: Sylvester Stallone (Creed)
Best Supporting Actress: Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl)
Best Original Screenplay: Spotlight
Best Adapted Screenplay: The Big Short
Best Editing: Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Cinematography: Emmanuel Lubezki (The Revenant)
Best Visual Effects: Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Best Production Design: Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Makeup & Hairstyling: Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Costume Design: Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Sound Mixing: The Revenant
Best Sound Editing: Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Original Score: The Hateful Eight
Best Original Song: 'Till It Happens To You'
Best Animated Feature: Inside Out
Best Foreign Film: Son of Saul
Best Documentary Feature: Amy

Теги: 

Will The Revenant win the Oscar?

Заокеанские аналитики и различные гурусы победоносно ставят на "Выжившего" как будущего триумфатора грядущей церемонии. Похоже, "Глобус" и "Бафта" их убедили в том, что спустя 20 лет с гаком "Оскар" снова возьмет вестерн. Однако, против "Ревенанта" говорит статистика предыдущих лет:

1) За все время существования награды актерской гильдии SAG (с 1995 года) только единственный фильм брал ВР без номинации на лучший ансамбль. Это было "Храброе сердце" в самой первой раздаче (тогда эта премия еще не была так влиятельна, как сейчас), Напомню, что "Выживший" не попал в пятерку лучших актерских ансамблей года. Главные конкуренты ленты про медведицу на САГ фигурировали ("Игра на понижение" и "В центре внимания").

2) За последние 8 лет лауреат "Оскара" железно совпадал с выбором гильдии продюсеров (PGA). Еще ни разу продюсеры не давали осечку после того, как стали применять ту же систему выбора лучшей картины года, что и КиноАкадемия. Напомню, что в этом сезоне выиграла "Игра на понижение".

3) Крайне редко побеждают на "Оскаре" ленты без сценарной номинации. Последним таким феноменом был легендарный "Титаник", взявший 11 болванов без номинации на сценарий. А ведь даже у "Гладиатора" и "Чикаго" скрипты были в пятерке лучших на "Оскаре". У "Ревенанта" его нет вообще.

4) Никогда в истории "Оскара" два раза подряд не побеждал фильм одного и того же режиссера. В режиссуре два раза подряд побеждал Джозеф Лео Манкевич в 1950 и 1951 годах ("Письмо трем женам" и "Все о Еве") и Джон Форд в 1941 и 1942 ("Гроздья гнева" и "Как зелена была моя долина").

P.S. Без номинаций на ансамбль (SAG) и сценарий (Oscar) одновременно еще не побеждал никто. Сотворит ли "Выживший" историю?

Теги: 

Anne Thompson Oscar 2016 Final Predictions Winners

Финальный прогноз Энн Томпсон на лауреатов "Оскара 2016". 

Anne Thompson Oscar Prediction:
Best Picture: The Revenant
Best Director: George Miller (Mad Max: Fury Road)
Best Actor: Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant)
Best Actress: Brie Larson (Room)
Best Supporting Actor: Sylvester Stallone (Creed)
Best Supporting Actress: Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl)
Best Original Screenplay: Spotlight
Best Adapted Screenplay: The Big Short
Best Editing: The Big Short
Best Cinematography: Emmanuel Lubezki (The Revenant)
Best Visual Effects: Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Best Production Design: The Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Makeup & Hairstyling: Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Costume Design: Mad Max: Fury Road
Best Sound Mixing: The Revenant
Best Sound Editing: The Revenant
Best Original Score: The Hateful Eight
Best Original Song: 'Till It Happens To You'
Best Animated Feature: Inside Out
Best Foreign Film: Son of Saul
Best Documentary Feature: Amy

Теги: 

Страницы