Ноябрьский (21 ноября) прогноз Клэйтона Дэвиса по поводу номинантов "Оскара":

Best Picture
“La La Land” (Summit Entertainment)
“Fences” (Paramount Pictures)
“Moonlight” (A24)
“Lion” (The Weinstein Company)
“Manchester by the Sea” (Amazon Studios)
“Arrival” (Paramount Pictures)
“Silence” (Paramount Pictures)
“Loving” (Focus Features)
“Hidden Figures” (20th Century Fox)
“Jackie” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)

Best Director
Damien Chazelle – “La La Land“
Denzel Washington – “Fences”
Barry Jenkins – “Moonlight“
Kenneth Lonergan – “Manchester by the Sea“
Denis Villenueve – “Arrival“

Best Actor
Denzel Washington – “Fences”
Casey Affleck – “Manchester by the Sea“
Warren Beatty – “Rules Don’t Apply“
Joel Edgerton – “Loving“
Viggo Mortensen – “Captain Fantastic“

Best Actress
Annette Bening – “20th Century Women“
Emma Stone – “La La Land“
Natalie Portman – “Jackie“
Jessica Chastain – “Miss Sloane“
Ruth Negga – “Loving“

Best Supporting Actor
Hugh Grant – “Florence Foster Jenkins“
Mykelti Williamson – “Fences”
Jeff Bridges – “Hell or High Water“
Kevin Costner – “Hidden Figures”
Mahershala Ali – “Moonlight“

Best Supporting Actress
Viola Davis – “Fences”
Naomie Harris – “Moonlight“
Nicole Kidman – “Lion“
Michelle Williams – “Manchester by the Sea“
Janelle Monae – “Hidden Figures”

Best Adapted Screenplay
“Fences” – August Wilson
“Lion” – Luke Davies
“Silence” – Jay Cocks
“Arrival” – Eric Heisserer
“Hidden Figures” – Allison Schroeder

Best Original Screenplay
“Moonlight” – Barry Jenkins, Tarell McCraney
“Manchester by the Sea” – Kenneth Lonergan
“20th Century Women” – Mike Mills
“La La Land” – Damien Chazelle
“Loving” – Jeff Nichols

Прогноз Криса Тэпли по поводу номинантов "Оскара" от 17 ноября:

Best Picture
"Silence" (Paramount Pictures)
"La La Land" (Lionsgate)
"Fences" (Paramount Pictures)
"Lion" (The Weinstein Co.)
"Manchester by the Sea" (Amazon/Roadside Attractions)
"Moonlight" (A24)
"Florence Foster Jenkins" (Paramount Pictures)
"Loving" (Focus Features)
"Hidden Figures" (20th Century Fox)
"Hell or High Water" (CBS Films)

Best Director
Martin Scorsese ("Silence")
Damien Chazelle ("La La Land")
Denzel Washington ("Fences")
Kenneth Lonergan ("Manchester by the Sea")
Barry Jenkins ("Moonlight")

Best Actor
Denzel Washington ("Fences")
Casey Affleck ("Manchester by the Sea")
Andrew Garfield ("Silence")
Ryan Gosling ("La La Land")
Warren Beatty ("Rules Don't Apply")

Best Actress
Emma Stone ("La La Land")
Natalie Portman ("Jackie")
Annette Bening ("20th Century Women")
Meryl Streep ("Florence Foster Jenkins")
Ruth Negga ("Loving")

Best Supporting Actor
Jeff Bridges ("Hell or High Water")
Hugh Grant ("Florence Foster Jenkins")
Stephen McKinley Henderson ("Fences")
Lucas Hedges ("Manchester by the Sea")
Mahershala Ali ("Moonlight")

Best Supporting Actress
Viola Davis ("Fences")
Michelle Williams ("Manchester by the Sea")
Naomie Harris ("Moonlight")
Nicole Kidman ("Lion")
Greta Gerwig ("20th Century Women")

Best Adapted Screenplay
"Fences" (August Wilson)
"Silence" (Jay Cocks)
"Lion" (Luke Davies)
"Hidden Figures" (Theodore Melfi, Allison Schroeder)
"Arrival" (Eric Heisserer)

Best Original Screenplay
"La La Land" (Damien Chazelle)
"Manchester by the Sea" (Kenneth Lonergan)
"Moonlight" (Barry Jenkins, Tarell McCraney)
"20th Century Women" (Mike Mills)
"Hell or High Water" (Taylor Sheridan)

Best Cinematography
"Silence" (Rodrigo Prieto)
"Live By Night" (Robert Richardson)
"La La Land" (Linus Sandgren)
"Jackie" (Stephane Fontaine)
"Rules Don't Apply" (Caleb Deschanel)

Ноябрьский (14 ноября) прогноз Клэйтона Дэвиса по поводу номинантов "Оскара":

Best Picture
“La La Land” (Summit Entertainment)
“Fences” (Paramount Pictures)
“Lion” (The Weinstein Company)
“Manchester by the Sea” (Amazon Studios)
“Moonlight” (A24)
“Silence” (Paramount Pictures)
“Arrival” (Paramount Pictures)
“Loving” (Focus Features)
'Sully'' (Warner Bros)
“20th Century Women” (A24)

Best Director
Damien Chazelle – “La La Land“
Denzel Washington – “Fences”
Barry Jenkins – “Moonlight“
Kenneth Lonergan – “Manchester by the Sea“
Garth Davis – “Lion“

Best Actor
Denzel Washington – “Fences”
Casey Affleck – “Manchester by the Sea“
Warren Beatty – “Rules Don’t Apply”
Tom Hanks – “Sully“
Joel Edgerton – “Loving“

Best Actress
Annette Bening – “20th Century Women“
Emma Stone – “La La Land“
Natalie Portman – “Jackie“
Jessica Chastain – “Miss Sloane”
Meryl Streep – “Florence Foster Jenkins“

Best Supporting Actor
Hugh Grant – “Florence Foster Jenkins“
Liam Neeson - ''Silence'
Jeff Bridges – “Hell or High Water“'
Mahershala Ali – “Moonlight“
Aaron Eckhart - ''Sully''

Best Supporting Actress
Viola Davis – “Fences”
Naomie Harris – “Moonlight“
Nicole Kidman – “Lion“
Michelle Williams – “Manchester by the Sea“
Greta Gerwig – “20th Century Women“

Best Adapted Screenplay
“Fences” – August Wilson
“Lion” – Luke Davies
“Silence” – Jay Cocks
“Arrival” – Eric Heisserer
“Live By Night” – Ben Affleck

Best Original Screenplay
“Moonlight” – Barry Jenkins, Tarell McCraney
“Manchester by the Sea” – Kenneth Lonergan
“20th Century Women” – Mike Mills
“La La Land” – Damien Chazelle
“Loving” – Jeff Nichols

Best Cinematography
“Silence” – Rodrigo Prieto
“La La Land” – Linus Sandgren
“Arrival” – Bradford Young
“Jackie” – Stéphane Fontaine
“Hail, Caesar!” – Roger Deakins

Ноябрьский (14 ноября) прогноз Скотта Файнберга по поводу номинантов "Оскара":

Best Picture
La La Land (Lionsgate)
Moonlight (A24)
Lion (The Weinstein Co.)
Manchester by the Sea (Amazon/Roadside Attractions)
Fences (Paramount)
Hell or High Water (CBS Films)
Jackie (Fox Searchlight)
Hidden Figures (Fox)
The Founder (The Weinstein Co.)
Patriots Day (CBS Films/Lionsgate)

Best Director
Damien Chazelle (La La Land)
Barry Jenkins (Moonlight)
Kenneth Lonergan (Manchester by the Sea)
Denzel Washington (Fences)
Pablo Larrain (Jackie)

Best Actor
Denzel Washington (Fences)
Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea)
Ryan Gosling (La La Land)
Michael Keaton (The Founder)
Tom Hanks (Sully)

Best Actress
Emma Stone (La La Land)
Natalie Portman (Jackie)
Annette Bening (20th Century Women)
Meryl Streep (Florence Foster Jenkins)
Isabelle Huppert (Elle)

Best Supporting Actor
Jeff Bridges (Hell or High Water)
Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)
Dev Patel (Lion)
Lucas Hedges (Manchester by the Sea)
Simon Helberg (Florence Foster Jenkins)

Best Supporting Actress
Naomie Harris (Moonlight)
Viola Davis (Fences)
Michelle Williams (Manchester by the Sea)
Nicole Kidman (Lion)
Janelle Monae (Hidden Figures)

Best Adapted Screenplay
Lion (Luke Davies)
Fences (August Wilson)
Sully (Todd Komarnicki)
Hidden Figures (Allison Schroeder, Theodore Melfi )
Hacksaw Ridge (Andrew Knight, Robert Schenkkan)
Best Original Screenplay
Moonlight (Barry Jenkins)
Manchester by the Sea (Kenneth Lonergan)
Hell or High Water (Taylor Sheridan)
La La Land (Damien Chazelle)
Captain Fantastic (Matt Ross)

Best Cinematography
The Jungle Book (Bill Pope)
Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk (John Toll)
La La Land (Linus Sandgren)
Silence (Rodrigo Prieto)
Moonlight (James Laxton)

Ноябрьский (7 ноября) прогноз Клэйтона Дэвиса по поводу номинантов "Оскара":

Best Picture
“La La Land” (Summit Entertainment)
“Fences” (Paramount Pictures)
“Lion” (The Weinstein Company)
“Manchester by the Sea” (Amazon Studios)
“Moonlight” (A24)
“Silence” (Paramount Pictures)
“Jackie”(Fox Searchlight Pictures)
“Loving” (Focus Features)
“20th Century Women” (A24)
“Arrival” (Paramount Pictures)

Best Director
Damien Chazelle – “La La Land“
Denzel Washington – “Fences”
Garth Davis – “Lion“
Barry Jenkins – “Moonlight“
Kenneth Lonergan – “Manchester by the Sea“

Best Actor
Denzel Washington – “Fences”
Casey Affleck – “Manchester by the Sea“
Warren Beatty – “Rules Don’t Apply”
Tom Hanks – “Sully“
Joel Edgerton – “Loving“

Best Actress
Annette Bening – “20th Century Women“
Natalie Portman – “Jackie“
Emma Stone – “La La Land“
Jessica Chastain – “Miss Sloane”
Meryl Streep – “Florence Foster Jenkins“

Best Supporting Actor
Hugh Grant – “Florence Foster Jenkins“
Peter Sarsgaard – “Jackie“
Mahershala Ali – “Moonlight“
Dev Patel – “Lion“
Jeff Bridges – “Hell or High Water“

Best Supporting Actress
Viola Davis – “Fences”
Naomie Harris – “Moonlight“
Nicole Kidman – “Lion“
Michelle Williams – “Manchester by the Sea“
Greta Gerwig – “20th Century Women“

Best Adapted Screenplay
“Fences” – August Wilson
“Lion” – Luke Davies
“Silence” – Jay Cocks
“Arrival” – Eric Heisserer
“Live By Night” – Ben Affleck

Best Original Screenplay
“Manchester by the Sea” – Kenneth Lonergan
“Moonlight” – Barry Jenkins, Tarell McCraney
“20th Century Women” – Mike Mills
“La La Land” – Damien Chazelle
“Loving” – Jeff Nichols

Best Cinematography
“Silence” – Rodrigo Prieto
“La La Land” – Linus Sandgren
“Arrival” – Bradford Young
“Jackie” – Stéphane Fontaine
“Hail, Caesar!” – Roger Deakins

Прогноз Криса Тэпли по поводу номинантов "Оскара" от 7 ноября:

Best Picture
"Silence" (Paramount Pictures)
"La La Land" (Lionsgate)
"Fences" (Paramount Pictures)
"Lion" (The Weinstein Co.)
"Manchester by the Sea" (Amazon/Roadside Attractions)
"Moonlight" (A24)
"Live By Night" (Warner Bros. Pictures)
"Florence Foster Jenkins" (Paramount Pictures)
"Loving" (Focus Features)
"Hidden Figures" (20th Century Fox)

Best Director
Martin Scorsese ("Silence")
Damien Chazelle ("La La Land")
Denzel Washington ("Fences")
Kenneth Lonergan ("Manchester by the Sea")
Barry Jenkins ("Moonlight")

Best Actor
Denzel Washington ("Fences")
Casey Affleck ("Manchester by the Sea")
Andrew Garfield ("Silence")
Ryan Gosling ("La La Land")
Matthew McConaughey ("Gold")

Best Actress
Emma Stone ("La La Land")
Natalie Portman ("Jackie")
Annette Bening ("20th Century Women")
Meryl Streep ("Florence Foster Jenkins")
Ruth Negga ("Loving")

Best Supporting Actor
Jeff Bridges ("Hell or High Water")
Hugh Grant ("Florence Foster Jenkins")
Stephen McKinley Henderson ("Fences")
Lucas Hedges ("Manchester by the Sea")
Mahershala Ali ("Moonlight")

Best Supporting Actress
Viola Davis ("Fences")
Michelle Williams ("Manchester by the Sea")
Naomie Harris ("Moonlight")
Nicole Kidman ("Lion")
Greta Gerwig ("20th Century Women")

Best Adapted Screenplay
"Fences" (August Wilson)
"Silence" (Jay Cocks)
"Lion" (Luke Davies)
"Hidden Figures" (Theodore Melfi, Allison Schroeder)
"Live By Night" (Ben Affleck)

Best Original Screenplay
"La La Land" (Damien Chazelle)
"Manchester by the Sea" (Kenneth Lonergan)
"Moonlight" (Barry Jenkins, Tarell McCraney)
"20th Century Women" (Mike Mills)
"Hell or High Water" (Taylor Sheridan)

Best Cinematography
"Silence" (Rodrigo Prieto)
"La La Land" (Linus Sandgren)
"Live By Night" (Robert Richardson)
"Jackie" (Stephane Fontaine)
"Rules Don't Apply" (Caleb Deschanel)

Обновлен сайт "гурусов". Вот какие прогнозы на "Оскар" можно прочесть на культовом ресурсе:

Посмотрим, насколько схожи прогнозы трех ведущих аналитиков (Файнберг, Дэвис, Тэпли). Ниже опубликованы категории и 1 место каждого специалиста (кто кого видит на данный момент с "Оскаром" перед 3 ноября).

Best Picture
Scott Feinberg: 'La La Land' ('La La Land' - Sept)
Clayton Davis: 'La La Land' ('La La Land' - Sept)
Kris Tapley: 'Silence' ('Silence' - Sept)

Best Director
Scott Feinberg: Damien Chazelle, 'La La Land' (Damien Chazelle - Sept)
Clayton Davis: Damien Chazelle, 'La La Land' (Damien Chazelle - Sept)
Kris Tapley: Martin Scorsese, 'Silence' (Martin Scorsese - Sept)

Best Actor
Scott Feinberg: Casey Affleck, 'Manchester By the Sea' (Denzel Washington - Sept)
Clayton Davis: Casey Affleck, 'Manchester By the Sea' (Denzel Washington - Sept)
Kris Tapley: Denzel Washington, 'Fences' (Denzel Washington - Sept)

Best Actress
Scott Feinberg: Emma Stone, 'La La Land' (Emma Stone - Sept)
Clayton Davis: Annette Bening, '20th Century Women' (Viola Davis - Sept)
Kris Tapley: Emma Stone, 'La La Land' (Emma Stone - Sept)

Best Supporting Actor
Scott Feinberg: Jeff Bridges, 'Hell or High Water' (Jeff Bridges - Sept)
Clayton Davis: Hugh Grant, 'Florence Foster Jenkins' (Liam Neeson - Sept)
Kris Tapley: Stephen McKinley Henderson, 'Fences' (Stephen McKinley Henderson - Sept)

Best Supporting Actress
Scott Feinberg: Naomie Harris, 'Moonlight' (Naomie Harris - Sept)
Clayton Davis: Viola Davis, 'Fences' (Michelle Williams - Sept)
Kris Tapley: Viola Davis, 'Fences' (Michelle Williams - Sept)

Best Original Screenplay
Scott Feinberg: 'Moonlight' ('La La Land' - Sept)
Clayton Davis: 'Manchester By the Sea' ('La La Land' - Sept)
Kris Tapley: 'La La Land' ('La La Land' - Sept)

Best Adapted Screenplay
Scott Feinberg: 'Lion' ('Fences' - Sept)
Clayton Davis: 'Fences' ('Fences' - Sept)
Kris Tapley: 'Fences' ('Fences' - Sept)

Best Editing
Scott Feinberg: 'La La Land' ('La La Land' - Sept)
Clayton Davis: 'La La Land' ('La La Land' - Sept)
Kris Tapley: 'La La Land' ('Silence' - Sept)

Best Cinematography
Scott Feinberg: 'Billy Lynn's Long Halfime Long' ('La La Land' - Sept)
Clayton Davis: 'Silence' ('Silence' - Sept)
Kris Tapley: 'Silence' ('Silence' - Sept)

Best Production Design
Scott Feinberg: 'La La Land' ('La La Land' - Sept)
Clayton Davis: 'La La Land' ('La La Land' - Sept)
Kris Tapley: 'Live By Night' ('Live By Night' - Sept)

Best Costume Design
Scott Feinberg: 'Silence' ('Fences' - Sept)
Clayton Davis: 'Jackie' ('Fantastic Beasts and Where to FInd Them' - Sept)
Kris Tapley: 'Silence' ('Silence' - Sept)

Best Visual Effects
Scott Feinberg: 'The Jungle Book' ('The Jungle Book' - Sept)
Clayton Davis: 'The Jungle Book' ('Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk' - Sept)
Kris Tapley: 'Rogue One: A Star Wars Story' ('Rogue One' - Sept)

Best Original Score
Scott Feinberg: 'Hidden Figures' ('Hidden Figures' - Sept)
Clayton Davis: 'Arrival' ('Arrival' - Sept)
Kris Tapley: 'The BFG' ('The BFG' - Sept)

Best Original Song
Scott Feinberg: 'City of Stars' ('Audition' - Sept)
Clayton Davis: 'Audition' ('Audition' - Sept)
Kris Tapley: 'Audition' ('Audition' - Sept)

Best Animated Feature
Scott Feinberg: 'Zootopia' ('Zootopia' - Sept)
Clayton Davis: 'Moana' ('Moana' - Sept)
Kris Tapley: 'Zootopia' ('Zootopia' - Sept)