Главные сюрпризы в номинациях на "Оскар 2015":

1. "Лего Фильм" продинамлен. Хотя песня оттуда номинирована. Адекватно пролет я объяснить не могу.
2. Марион Котийяр получает номинацию, несмотря на отсутствие громкой кампании и номинаций на других премиях (SAG, BAFTA, GG). Это самая приятная новость сегодняшнего дня.
3. "Бердмэна" нет в монтаже. Может, академики просто не увидели там склеек? Шутка.
4. Операторы "Иды" прорвались на "Оскар". Это замечательно, потому что синематография там шедевральна.
5. "Уильям Тернер" получает больше номинаций, нежели на родной "Бафте". Рад за Поупа и художников-костюмеров. Все заслуженно.
6. "Охотник на лис" получает номинации на режиссуру и сценарий, хотя обойден вниманием в лучшем фильме. Это странно.
7. Хваленая критиками "Сельма" получает жалкие крохи с барского стола. Сценарий, монтаж, режиссура и актер отсутствуют.
8. В женском суппорте стабильно по сезону шла четверка, зато в каждой премии пятый слот занимал кто-то новый: Наоми Уоттс была на гильдии актеров, Джессика Честейн на "Глобусе", Рене Руссо на "Бафте". Настала очередь Лоры Дерн.
9. Брэдли Купер получает третью номинацию подряд. В последние годы он просто рвет и мечет!
10. "Исчезнувшая" встречена прохладно. Даже без сценария и музыки.

Номинанты "Оскара-2015". Красным выделены позиции, которые я не угадал. Все комментарии позже.

Best Film
1. ''American Sniper''
2. ''Birdman''
3. ''Boyhood''
4. ''Gone Girl''
5. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''
6. ''The Imitation Game''
7. ''Selma''
8. ''The Theory of Everything''
9. ''Whiplash''

Best Director
1. Wes Anderson (''The Grand Budapest Hotel'')
2. Bennett Miller (''Foxcatcher'')
3. Alejandro Gonzalez Innaritu (''Birdman'')
4. Richard Linklater (''Boyhood'')
5. Morten Tyldum (''The Imitation Game'')

Best Actor
1. Benedict Cumberbatch (''The Imitation Game'')
2. Steve Carell (''Foxcatcher'')
3. Bradley Cooper (''American Sniper'')
4. Michael Keaton (''Birdman'')
5. Eddie Redmayne (''The Theory of Everything'') 

Best Actress
1. Marion Cotillard (''Two Days, One Night'')
2. Felicity Jones (''The Theory of Everything'')
3. Julianne Moore (''Still Alice'')
4. Rosamund Pike (''Gone Girl'')
5. Reese Witherspoon (''Wild'')

Best Supporting Actor
1. Robert Duvall (''The Judge'')
2. Ethan Hawke (''Boyhood'')
3. Edward Norton ('Birdman')
4. Mark Ruffalo ('Foxcatcher')
5. J.K. Simmons (''Whiplash'')

Best Supporting Actress
1. Patricia Arquette (""Boyhood'')
2. Keira Kneightley (''The Imitation Game'')
3. Laura Dern (''Wild'')
4. Emma Stone (''Birdman'')
5. Meryl Streep (''Into the Woods'')

Best Original Screenplay
1. ''Birdman''
2. ''Boyhood''
3. ''Foxcatcher''
4. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''
5. ''Nightcrawler''

Best Adapted Screenplay
1. ''American Sniper''
2. ''Inherent Vice''
3. ''The Imitation Game''
4. ''The Theory of Everything''
5. ''Whiplash''

Best Film Editing
1. ''American Sniper''
2. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''
3. ''Boyhood''
4. ''The Imitation Game''
5. ''Whiplash''

Best Cinematography
1. ''Birdman''
2. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''
3. ''Ida''
4. ''Mr. Turner''
5. ''Unbroken''

Best Production Design
1. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''
2. ''The Imitation Game''
3. ''Interstellar''
4. ''Into the Woods''
5. ''Mr. Turner''

Best Costume Design
1. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''
2. ''Inherent Vice''
3. ''Into the Woods''
4. ''Maleficent''
5. ''Mr. Turner''

Best Original Score
1. ''Mr. Turner''
2. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''
3. ''The Theory of Everything''
4. ''The Imitation Game''
5. ''Interstellar''

Best Visual Effects
1. ''Dawn of the Planet of the Apes''
2. ''Guardians of the Galaxy''
3. ''Captain America: WInter Soldier''
4. ''Interstellar''
5. ''X-Men: Days of Future Past"

Best Animated Feature Film
1. ''Big Hero 6''
2. ''The Boxtrolls''
3. ''How to Train Your Dragon 2''
4. ''Song of the Sea''
5. ''The Tale of Princess Kaguya''

Best Foreign Language Film
1. ''Ida'' (Poland)
2. ''Leviathan'' (Russia)
3. ''Tangerines'' (Estonia)
4. ''Timbuktu'' (Mauritania)
5. ''Wild Tales'' (Argentina)

Мой персональный прогноз на номинантов "Оскар-2015". В качестве обзора выбраны все категории, кроме грима, документального фильма, короткометражек и сугубо технических ветвей (звук и монтаж звука). Потенциальные номинанты указаны в алфавитном порядке:

Best Film
1. ''American Sniper''
2. ''Birdman''
3. ''Boyhood''
4. ''Gone Girl''
5. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''
6. ''The Imitation Game''
7. ''Selma''
8. ''The Theory of Everything''
9. ''Whiplash''

Best Director
1. Wes Anderson (''The Grand Budapest Hotel'')
2. Damien Chazelle (''Whiplash'')
3. Alejandro Gonzalez Innaritu (''Birdman'')
4. Richard Linklater (''Boyhood'')
5. Morten Tyldum (''The Imitation Game'')

Best Actor
1. Benedict Cumberbatch (''The Imitation Game'')
2. Ralph Fiennes (''The Grand Budapest Hotel'')
3. Jake Gyllenhaal (''Nightcrawler'')
4. Michael Keaton (''Birdman'')
5. Eddie Redmayne (''The Theory of Everything'') 

Best Actress
1. Amy Adams (''Big Eyes'')
2. Felicity Jones (''The Theory of Everything'')
3. Julianne Moore (''Still Alice'')
4. Rosamund Pike (''Gone Girl'')
5. Reese Witherspoon (''Wild'')

Best Supporting Actor
1. Robert Duvall (''The Judge'')
2. Ethan Hawke (''Boyhood'')
3. Edward Norton ('Birdman')
4. Mark Ruffalo ('Foxcatcher')
5. J.K. Simmons (''Whiplash'')

Best Supporting Actress
1. Patricia Arquette (""Boyhood'')
2. Keira Kneightley (''The Imitation Game'')
3. Rene Russo (''Nightcrawler'')
4. Emma Stone (''Birdman'')
5. Meryl Streep (''Into the Woods'')

Best Original Screenplay
1. ''Birdman''
2. ''Boyhood''
3. ''Foxcatcher''
4. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''
5. ''Nightcrawler''

Best Adapted Screenplay
1. ''American Sniper''
2. ''Gone Girl''
3. ''The Imitation Game''
4. ''The Theory of Everything''
5. ''Whiplash''

Best Film Editing
1. ''American Sniper''
2. ''Birdman''
3. ''Boyhood''
4. ''The Imitation Game''
5. ''Whiplash''

Best Cinematography
1. ''Birdman''
2. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''
3. ''Interstellar'
4. ''Mr. Turner''
5. ''Unbroken''

Best Production Design
1. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''
2. ''The Imitation Game''
3. ''Interstellar''
4. ''Into the Woods''
5. ''Mr. Turner''

Best Costume Design
1. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''
2. ''The Imitation Game''
3. ''Into the Woods''
4. ''Maleficent''
5. ''Mr. Turner''

Best Original Score
1. ''Gone Girl''
2. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''
3. ''The Theory of Everything''
4. ''The Imitation Game''
5. ''Interstellar''

Best Visual Effects
1. ''Dawn of the Planet of the Apes''
2. ''Guardians of the Galaxy''
3. ''The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies''
4. ''Interstellar''
5. ''Transformers: Age of Extinction"

Best Animated Feature Film
1. ''Big Hero 6''
2. ''The Boxtrolls''
3. ''How to Train Your Dragon 2''
4. ''The Lego Movie''
5. ''The Tale of Princess Kaguya''

Best Foreign Language Film
1. ''Ida'' (Poland)
2. ''Leviathan'' (Russia)
3. ''Tangerines'' (Estonia)
4. ''Timbuktu'' (Mauritania)
5. ''Wild Tales'' (Argentina)

Финальный прогноз на номинантов "Оскара" от Саши Стоун в приоритетном порядке:

Best Film
1. ''Boyhood'' 
2. ''Birdman''
3. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''
4. ''The Imitation Game''
5. ''The Theory of Everything''
6. ''Selma''
7. ''Gone Girl''
8. ''Whiplash''
9. ''American Sniper''

Best Director
1. Richard Linklater ("Boyhood'')
2. Aljenadro Gonzalez Innaritu (''Birdman'')
3. Wes Anderson ("The Grand Budapest Hotel'')
4. Damien Chazelle (''Whiplash')
5. David Fincher (''Gone Girl'')

Best Actor
1. Michael Keaton (''Birdman'')
2. Eddie Redmayne (''The Theory of Everything'')
3. Jake Gyllenhaal (''Nightcrawler'')
4. Benedict Cumberbatch (''The Imitation Game'')
5. David Oyelowo (''Selma'') 

Best Actress
1. Julianne Moore (''Still Alice'')
2. Rosamund Pike (''Gone Girl'')
3. Reese Witherspoon (''Wild'')
4. Felicity Jones (''The Theory of Everything'')
5. Jennifer Aniston (''Cake'')

Best Supporting Actor
1. J.K. Simmons (''Whiplash'')
2. Edward Norton (''Birdman'')
3. Mark Ruffalo ('Foxcatcher'')
4. Robert Duvall (''The Judge'')
5. Ethan Hawke (''Boyhood'')

Best Supporting Actress
1. Patricia Arquette (""Boyhood'')
2. Emma Stone (''Birdman'')
3. Keira Kneightley (''The Imitation Game'')
4. Meryl Streep (''Into the Woods'')
5. Jessica Chastain (''A Most Violent Year'')

Best Original Screenplay
1. ''Birdman''
2. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''
3. ''Boyhood''
4. ''Nightcrawler''
5. ''Selma''

Best Adapted Screenplay
1. ''Gone Girl''
2. ''The Imitation Game''
3. ''Wild''
4. ''American Sniper''
5. ''Whiplash''

Best Film Editing
1. ''Boyhood''
2. ''Birdman''
3. ''Gone Girl''

4. ''Whiplash''
5. ''American Sniper''

Best Cinematography
1. ''Birdman''
2. ''Mr. Turner''
3. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''
4. ''Unbroken''
5. ''The Imitation Game''

Best Production Design
1. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''
2. ''Mr. Turner''
3. ''The Imitation Game''
4. ''Into the Woods''
5. ''Mr. Turner''

Best Costume Design
1. ''Into the Woods''
2. ''The Imitation Game''
3. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''
4. ''Maleficent''
5. ''Mr. Turner''

Best Original Score
1. ''Gone Girl''
2. ''Interstellar''
3. ''The Theory of Everything''
4. ''The Imitation Game''
5. ''Mr. Turner''

Best Visual Effects
1. ''Interstellar''
2. ''Dawn of the Planet of the Apes''
3. ''Guardians of the Galaxy''
4. ''The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies''
5. ''X-Men: Days of Future Past''

Best Animated Feature Film
1. ''The Lego Movie''
2. ''The Tale of Princess Kaguya''
3. ''How to Train Your Dragon 2''
4. ''Big Hero 6''
5. ''The Boxtrolls''

Best Foreign Language Film
1. ''Force Majeure'' (Sweden)
2. ''Ida'' (Poland)
3. ''Leviathan'' (Russia)
4. ''Timbuktu'' (Mauritania)
5. ''Wild Tales'' (Argentina)

Best Sound Mixing
1. ''American Sniper''
2. ''Into the Woods''
3. ''Guardians of the Galaxy''
4. ''Interstellar''
5. ''Unbroken''

Best Sound Editing
1. ''Guardians of the Galaxy''
2. ''American Sniper''
3. ''Interstellar''
4. ''Unbroken''
5. ''Birdman''

Best Make Up and Hairstyling
1. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''
2. ''Guardians of the Galaxy''
3. ''Foxcatcher''

Best Documentary Feature
1. ''Citizenfour'
2. ''Life Itself''
3. ''Last Days in Vietnam''
4. ''Virunga''
5. ''Salt on the Earth''

Best Original Song
1. ''Big Eyes'' (''Big Eyes'')
2. ''Glory'' (''Selma")
3. ''Mercy Is'' (''Noah'')
4. ''Everything Is Awesome'' (''The Lego Movie'')
5. ''Lost Stars'' (''Begin Again'')

Финальный прогноз на номинантов "Оскара" от Кристофера Тэпли  (HitFix) в алфавитном порядке:

Best Film
1. ''American Sniper'' 
2. ''Birdman''
3. ''Boyhood''
4. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''
5. ''The Imitation Game''
6. ''Nightcrawler''
7. ''Selma''
8. ''The Theory of Everything''
9. ''Whiplash''

Best Director
1. Wes Anderson ("The Grand Budapest Hotel'')
2. Clint Eastwood (''American Sniper'')
3. Alejandro Gonzalez Innaritu ("Birdman'')
4. Richard Linklater (''Boyhood')
5. Morten Tyldum ('The Imitation Game'')

Best Actor
1. Benedict Cumberbatch (''The Imitation Game'')
2. Jake Gyllenhaal (''Nightcrawler'')
3. Michael Keaton (''Birdman'')
4. Bradley Cooper (''American Sniper'')
5. Eddie Redmayne (''The Theory of Everything'') 

Best Actress
1. Jennifer Aniston (''Cake'')
2. Felicity Jones (''The Theory of Everything'')
3. Julianne Moore (''Still Alice'')
4. Rosamund Pike (''Gone Girl'')
5. Reese Witherspoon (''Wild'')

Best Supporting Actor
1. Robert Duvall (''The Judge'')
2. Ethan Hawke (''Boyhood'')
3. Edward Norton ('Birdman')
4. Mark Ruffalo ('Foxcatcher')
5. J.K. Simmons (''Whiplash'')

Best Supporting Actress
1. Patricia Arquette (""Boyhood'')
2. Rene Russo (''Nightcrawler'')
3. Keira Kneightley (''The Imitation Game'')
4. Emma Stone (''Birdman'')
5. Meryl Streep (''Into the Woods'')

Best Original Screenplay
1. ''Birdman''
2. ''Boyhood''
3. ''Mr. Turner''
4. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''
5. ''Nightcrawler''

Best Adapted Screenplay

1. ''American Sniper''
2. ''Gone Girl''
3. ''The Imitation Game''
4. ''The Theory of Everything''
5. ''Whiplash''

Best Film Editing
1. ''BIrdman''
2. ''Boyhood''
3. ''The Imitation Game''

4. ''Nightcrawler''
5. ''Whiplash''

Best Cinematography
1. ''Birdman''
2. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''
3. ''Ida''
4. ''Mr. Turner''
5. ''Unbroken''

Best Production Design
1. ''Big Eyes''
2. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''
3. ''The Imitation Game''
4. ''Into the Woods''
5. ''Mr. Turner''

Best Costume Design
1. ''The Imitation Game''
2. ''Into the Woods''
3. ''Mr. Turner''
4. ''Maleficent''
5. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''

Best Original Score
1. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''
2. ''The Judge'
3. ''The Theory of Everything''
4. ''The Imitation Game''
5. ''Interstellar''

Best Visual Effects
1. ''Dawn of the Planet of the Apes''
2. ''Guardians of the Galaxy''
3. ''The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies''
4. ''Interstellar''
5. ''X-Men: Days of Future Past''

Best Animated Feature Film
1. ''Big Hero 6''
2. ''The Boxtrolls''
3. ''How to Train Your Dragon 2''
4. ''The Lego Movie''
5. ''Song of the Sea''

Best Foreign Language Film
1. ''Tangerines'' (Estonia))
2. ''Ida'' (Poland)
3. ''Leviathan'' (Russia)
4. ''Timbuktu'' (Mauritania)
5. ''Wild Tales'' (Argentina)

Best Sound Mixing
1. ''American Sniper''
2. ''Birdman''
3. ''Guardians of the Galaxy''
4. ''The Imitation Game''
5. ''Unbroken''

Best Sound Editing
1. ''American Sniper''
2. ''Birdman''
3. ''Guardians of the Galaxy''
4. ''Interstellar''
5. ''Unbroken''

Best Make Up and Hairstyling
1. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''
2. ''Guardians of the Galaxy''
3. ''The Theory of Everything''

Best Documentary Feature
1. ''Citizenfour'
2. ''Finding Vivian Maier''
3. ''Last Days in Vietnam''
4. ''The Overnighters''
5. ''Virunga''

Best Original Song
1. ''Ryan's Song'' (''Boyhood'')
2. ''Everything Is Awesome'' (''The Lego Movie")
3. ''Glory'' (''Selma'')
4. ''Lost Stars'' (''Begin Again'')
5. ''I'm Not Gonna Miss You'' (''Glenn Campbell: I'll Be Me'')

Финальный прогноз на номинантов "Оскара" от Энн Томпсон в алфавитном порядке:

Best Film
1. ''American Sniper'' 
2. ''Birdman''
3. ''Boyhood''
4. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''
5. ''The Imitation Game''
6. ''Nightrawler''
7. ''Selma''
8. ''The Theory of Everything''
9. ''Whiplash''

Best Director
1. Wes Anderson ("The Grand Budapest Hotel'')
2. Clint Eastwood (''American Sniper'')
3. Alejandro Gonzalez Innaritu ("Birdman'')
4. Richard Linklater (''Boyhood')
5. Morten Tyldum ('The Imitation Game'')

Best Actor
1. Benedict Cumberbatch (''The Imitation Game'')
2. Jake Gyllenhaal (''Nightcrawler'')
3. Michael Keaton (''Birdman'')
4. David Oyelowo (''Selma'')
5. Eddie Redmayne (''The Theory of Everything'') 

Best Actress
1. Amy Adams (''Big Eyes'')
2. Felicity Jones (''The Theory of Everything'')
3. Julianne Moore (''Still Alice'')
4. Rosamund Pike (''Gone Girl'')
5. Reese Witherspoon (''Wild'')

Best Supporting Actor
1. Robert Duvall (''The Judge'')
2. Ethan Hawke (''Boyhood'')
3. Edward Norton ('Birdman')
4. Mark Ruffalo ('Foxcatcher')
5. J.K. Simmons (''Whiplash'')

Best Supporting Actress
1. Patricia Arquette (""Boyhood'')
2. Jessica Chastain (''A Most Violent Year'')
3. Keira Kneightley (''The Imitation Game'')
4. Emma Stone (''Birdman'')
5. Meryl Streep (''Into the Woods'')

Best Original Screenplay
1. ''Birdman''
2. ''Boyhood''
3. ''Foxcatcher''
4. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''
5. ''Nightcrawler''

Best Adapted Screenplay
1. ''Gone Girl''
2. ''The Imitation Game''
3. ''The Theory of Everything''
4. ''Whiplash''
5. ''Wild''

Best Film Editing
1. ''American Sniper''
2. ''BIrdman''
3. ''Boyhood''
4. ''The Imitation Game''
5. ''Whiplash''

Best Cinematography
1. ''Birdman''
2. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''
3. ''The Imitation Game''
4. ''Mr. Turner''
5. ''Unbroken''

Best Production Design
1. ''Birdman''
2. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''
3. ''Interstellar''
4. ''Into the Woods''
5. ''Mr. Turner''

Best Costume Design
1. ''Guardians of the Galaxy''
2. ''Into the Woods''
3. ''Mr. Turner''
4. ''Maleficent''
5. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''

Best Original Score
1. ''Gone Girl''
2. ''How To Train Your Dragon 2''
3. ''The Theory of Everything''
4. ''The Imitation Game''
5. ''Interstellar''

Best Visual Effects
1. ''Dawn of the Planet of the Apes''
2. ''Guardians of the Galaxy''
3. ''The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies''
4. ''Interstellar''
5. ''Maleficent''

Best Animated Feature Film
1. ''Big Hero 6''
2. ''The Boxtrolls''
3. ''How to Train Your Dragon 2''
4. ''The Lego Movie''
5. ''The Tale of Princess Kaguya''

Best Foreign Language Film
1. ''Force Majeure'' (Sweden)
2. ''Ida'' (Poland)
3. ''Leviathan'' (Russia)
4. ''Timbuktu'' (Mauritania)
5. ''Wild Tales'' (Argentina)

Best Sound Mixing
1. ''American Sniper''
2. ''Birdman''
3. ''Guardians of the Galaxy''
4. ''Interstellar''
5. ''Unbroken''

Best Sound Editing
1. ''American Sniper''
2. ''Birdman''
3. ''Guardians of the Galaxy''
4. ''Interstellar''
5. ''Unbroken''

Best Make Up and Hairstyling
1. ''The Grand Budapest Hotel''
2. ''Guardians of the Galaxy''
3. ''The Theory of Everything''

Best Documentary Feature
1. ''Citizenfour'
2. ''Life Itself''
3. ''The Salt On the Earth'
4. ''Tale of the Grim Sleeper''
5. ''Virunga''

Best Original Song
1.''Big Eyes'' (''Big Eyes'')
2. ''Everything Is Awesome'' (''The Lego Movie")
3. ''Glory'' (''Selma'')
4. ''Lost Stars'' (''Begin Again'')
5. ''Miracle'' (''Unbroken'')